Australia vs. Mexico International Friendly

Dimers' Australia vs. Mexico prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on May 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Australia
0
1
Rose Bowl
Mexico
Rose Bowl
MexicoMEX
Score Summary
AustraliaAUS
J. Vasquez (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mexico
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Australia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: C. Burgess replaces L. Herrington
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: A. Mabil replaces J. Irvine
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: N. Irankunda replaces M. Toure
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: A. Behich replaces J. Bos
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: A. Gomez replaces J. Vasquez
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: O. Vargas replaces L. Romo
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: P. Okon-Engstler replaces A. O'Neill
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: K. Trewin replaces J. Italiano
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: A. Hrustic replaces M. Leckie
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Australia: N. Velupillay replaces C. Metcalfe
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: C. Montes replaces E. Alvarez
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: J. Gallardo replaces M. Chavez Garcia
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: J. Quinones replaces A. Vega
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: G. Mora replaces A. Fidalgo
  15. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: E. Lira replaces L. Chavez
  16. 52'
    Yellow Card
    C. S. Huerta Valera (Mexico) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: G. Ochoa replaces R. Rangel
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: S. Gimenez replaces G. Martinez
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: I. Reyes replaces J. Sanchez
  20. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mexico: C. S. Huerta Valera replaces O. Pineda
  21. 32'
    Yellow Card
    J. Italiano (Australia) cautioned
  22. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mexico by J. Vasquez, assisted by A. Vega
    0-1

Australia vs. Mexico: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Australia vs. Mexico prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Australia vs. Mexico
  • Date: Saturday, May 30, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rose Bowl

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Australia +450, Mexico -169, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Australia: 20.0%
  • Mexico: 54.7%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Australia 0-1 Mexico (14.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Australia vs. Mexico? Prediction & correct score

Mexico is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.7%.

The most likely correct score is Australia 0-1 Mexico.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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