Iceland vs. Japan International Friendly

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on May 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
World Cup
FINAL
SWC sport icon
WORLD CUP
Iceland
0
1
New National Stadium
Japan
New National Stadium
JapanJPN
Score Summary
IcelandISL
K. Ogawa (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Japan
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Iceland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: S. I. Sigurdarson replaces H. Magnusson
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: I. Thorvaldsson replaces K. Hlynsson
  3. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Japan by K. Ogawa, assisted by Y. Sugawara
    0-1
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: H. Hermannsson replaces D. L. Gretarsson
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: S. Taniguchi replaces T. Tomiyasu
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: K. Sano replaces T. Kubo
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: T. Hayakawa replaces Z. Suzuki
  8. 76'
    Yellow Card
    S. T. Thordarson (Iceland) cautioned
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: A. Gunnarsson replaces A. F. Baldursson
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: B. Andresson replaces B. Willumsson
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: K. Goto replaces A. Tanaka
  12. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: T. Watanabe replaces K. Itakura
  13. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: K. Shiogai replaces K. Nakamura
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: Y. Sugawara replaces R. Doan
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: K. Ogawa replaces A. Ueda
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: A. Seko replaces W. Endo
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: Y. Nagatomo replaces J. Ito
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Iceland: W. T. Willumsson replaces G. Thordarson
  19. 33'
    Yellow Card
    K. Hlynsson (Iceland) cautioned
  20. 14'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Japan: H. Ito replaces M. Yoshida

Iceland vs. Japan: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Iceland vs. Japan
  • Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:25 AM ET
  • Venue: New National Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Iceland +1200, Japan -500, draw +550

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Iceland: 7.3%
  • Japan: 79.1%
  • Draw: 13.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Iceland 0-2 Japan (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Iceland vs. Japan? Prediction & correct score

Japan is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 79.1%.

The most likely correct score is Iceland 0-2 Japan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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