Iceland vs. Japan International Friendly

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction for the pre-World Cup friendly match on May 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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WORLD CUP
Iceland
0
1
May 31, 6:25 AM ET New National Stadium
Japan
May 31, 6:25 AM ET New National Stadium
JapanJPN
Score Summary
IcelandISL
K. Ogawa (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Japan
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Iceland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: S. I. Sigurdarson replaces H. Magnusson
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: I. Thorvaldsson replaces K. Hlynsson
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Japan by K. Ogawa, assisted by Y. Sugawara
0-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: H. Hermannsson replaces D. L. Gretarsson
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: S. Taniguchi replaces T. Tomiyasu
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Sano replaces T. Kubo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: T. Hayakawa replaces Z. Suzuki
76'
Yellow Card
S. T. Thordarson (Iceland) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: A. Gunnarsson replaces A. F. Baldursson
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: B. Andresson replaces B. Willumsson
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Goto replaces A. Tanaka
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: T. Watanabe replaces K. Itakura
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Shiogai replaces K. Nakamura
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: Y. Sugawara replaces R. Doan
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: K. Ogawa replaces A. Ueda
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: A. Seko replaces W. Endo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: Y. Nagatomo replaces J. Ito
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Iceland: W. T. Willumsson replaces G. Thordarson
33'
Yellow Card
K. Hlynsson (Iceland) cautioned
14'
Substitution
Substitution for Japan: H. Ito replaces M. Yoshida

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Iceland vs. Japan: Match prediction & analysis

Dimers' Iceland vs. Japan prediction is powered by a soccer ratings framework applied consistently across every match. We evaluate team strength, recent performance, player involvement, and underlying data signals to deliver clear, data-driven insights.

Match overview

  • Teams: Iceland vs. Japan
  • Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
  • Time: 6:25 AM ET
  • Venue: New National Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Iceland +1200, Japan -500, draw +550

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Iceland: 7.3%
  • Japan: 79.1%
  • Draw: 13.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Iceland 0-2 Japan (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Who will win Iceland vs. Japan? Prediction & correct score

Japan is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 79.1%.

The most likely correct score is Iceland 0-2 Japan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Iceland vs. Japan, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.