Argentina vs. Switzerland prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Quarter-Final]

Argentina and Switzerland are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the World Cup 2026 at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Argentina as the most likely winner of the Argentina vs. Switzerland game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Argentina vs. Switzerland prediction: Who will win and advance to the Semi-Finals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Argentina and Switzerland, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 58.6% chance of Argentina winning, a 16.8% chance for Switzerland, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58.1% chance of staying under, with a 58.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 38.5% probability to win without conceding, with Switzerland at 10.3%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 83.2%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

Switzerland vs. Argentina odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Argentina	Switzerland	Draw
-133	+545	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+138	-147

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Argentina vs. Switzerland picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Argentina @ -133 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +138 via Novig
• Win to Nil: Argentina @ +150 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Argentina or Switzerland @ -310 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -128 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Argentina to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Argentina 1-0 Switzerland	15.4%
Argentina 2-0 Switzerland	12.5%
Argentina 1-1 Switzerland	11.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 41.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 58.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Argentina vs. Switzerland player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Switzerland:

Argentina

• Lionel Messi: 38.9% probability
• Julian Alvarez: 24.5% probability
• Enzo Fernandez: 11.6% probability
• Alexis Allister: 10.2% probability
• Rodrigo De Paul: 9.6% probability

Switzerland

• Breel Embolo: 15.2% probability
• Dan Ndoye: 10.5% probability
• Fabian Rieder: 7.3% probability
• Granit Xhaka: 6.1% probability
• Djibril Sow: 5.4% probability

Argentina vs. Switzerland game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's soccer World Cup matchup between Argentina and Switzerland at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Argentina vs. Switzerland
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

DraftKings promo for Argentina vs. Switzerland

If you're looking to get money down on Argentina or Switzerland, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Argentina has a 58.6% win probability on Saturday, Switzerland has a 16.8% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.