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Read Article England vs. Ghana prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get England vs Ghana predictions for World Cup 2026 Tuesday.
England will square off with Ghana in Group L of the World Cup 2026 at Gillette Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts England as the most likely winner of the England vs. Ghana game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
England vs. Ghana prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 matchup between England and Ghana, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests an 81.6% chance of England winning, a 5.6% chance for Ghana, and a 12.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 61.0% chance of staying under, with a 60.8% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, England holds a 53.5% probability to win without conceding, with Ghana given a 3.1% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is England to win or draw at 94.4%.
Ghana vs. England odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| England | Ghana | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -525 | +1600 | +650 |
Total Goals
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|
| +140 | -168 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
England vs. Ghana picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Ghana @ +1600 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -168 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Ghana @ +1650 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Ghana or Draw @ +420 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +140 via BetMGM
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ghana to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Ghana's odds provide the best value right now.
England vs. Ghana: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 England win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| England 2-0 Ghana | 14.4% |
| England 3-0 Ghana | 12.6% |
| England 1-0 Ghana | 11% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 39.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 60.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
England vs. Ghana player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in England-Ghana:
England
- Harry Kane: 55.0% probability
- Anthony Gordon: 25.7% probability
- Jude Bellingham: 24.6% probability
- Noni Madueke: 23.9% probability
- Declan Rice: 13.4% probability
Ghana
- Jordan Ayew: 9.3% probability
- Inaki Williams: 9.3% probability
- Antoine Semenyo: 8.8% probability
- Thomas Partey: 6.6% probability
- Caleb Yirenkyi: 4.3% probability
England vs. Ghana game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's FIFA World Cup game between England and Ghana at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: England vs. Ghana
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, England has an 81.6% win probability on Tuesday, Ghana has a 5.6% win probability, and there is a 12.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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