Norway vs. England prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Quarter-Final]

Norway will face England in the quarterfinals of the World Cup 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts England as the most likely winner of the Norway vs. England game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Norway vs. England prediction: Who will win and advance to the Semi-Finals?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's World Cup 2026 game between Norway and England, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model suggests a 21.1% chance of Norway winning, a 56.6% chance for England, and a 22.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.6% chance of going over, with a 55.7% likelihood that both teams score. In the win to nil market, England holds a 29.2% probability to win without conceding, with Norway given a 9.9% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is England to win or draw at 78.9%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

England vs. Norway odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Norway	England	Draw
+355	-117	+300

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-130	+127

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Norway vs. England picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: England @ -117 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -130 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: England @ +240 via ESPN BET
• Double Chance: Norway or England @ -380 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +130 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is England to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on England's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Norway vs. England: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Norway 1-1 England	10.5%
Norway 1-2 England	9.9%
Norway 0-1 England	9.8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Norway vs. England player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Norway-England:

Norway

• Erling Haaland: 31.1% probability
• Alexander Sorloth: 14.4% probability
• Andreas Schjelderup: 10.1% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 8.4% probability
• Patrick Berg: 5.8% probability

England

• Harry Kane: 40.3% probability
• Jude Bellingham: 19.2% probability
• Anthony Gordon: 18.1% probability
• Noni Madueke: 16.7% probability
• Declan Rice: 9.2% probability

Norway vs. England game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's soccer World Cup matchup between Norway and England at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Norway vs. England
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Norway has a 21.1% win probability on Saturday, England has a 56.6% win probability, and there is a 22.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.