Panama vs. Croatia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Panama will square off with Croatia in Group L of the World Cup 2026 at BMO Field on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model projects Croatia as the most likely winner of the Panama vs. Croatia game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Panama vs. Croatia prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 game between Panama and Croatia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 14.2% chance of Panama winning, a 67.3% chance for Croatia, and an 18.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 62.0% chance of going over, with a 54.5% probability that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Croatia holds a 35.1% probability to win without conceding, with Panama given a 6.3% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Croatia to win or draw at 85.8%.

Croatia vs. Panama odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Panama	Croatia	Draw
+700	-230	+360

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-135	+116

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Panama vs. Croatia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Panama @ +700 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Panama @ +1050 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Panama or Draw @ +190 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ -102 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Panama vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Croatia win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Panama 0-2 Croatia	10.4%
Panama 1-2 Croatia	9.8%
Panama 0-1 Croatia	9.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.5% chance of both Panama and Croatia finding the net and a 45.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Panama vs. Croatia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Panama-Croatia:

Panama

• Jose Fajardo: 15.2% probability
• Jose Rodriguez: 9.9% probability
• Yoel Barcenas: 9.3% probability
• Amir Murillo: 6.6% probability
• Cristian Martinez: 6.5% probability

Croatia

• Petar Musa: 34.2% probability
• Ivan Perisic: 24.8% probability
• Martin Baturina: 22.5% probability
• Luka Modric: 20.9% probability
• Marco Pasalic: 19.7% probability

Panama vs. Croatia game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's soccer World Cup game between Panama and Croatia at BMO Field is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Panama vs. Croatia
• Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: BMO Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Panama has a 14.2% win probability on Tuesday, Croatia has a 67.3% win probability, and there is an 18.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.