England vs. Croatia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

England will take on Croatia in Group L of the World Cup 2026 at AT&T Stadium on Wednesday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects England as the most likely winner of the England vs. Croatia game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

England vs. Croatia prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's World Cup 2026 game between England and Croatia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 58.2% chance of England winning, a 17.8% chance for Croatia, and a 24.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.4% chance of staying under, with a 54.7% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, England holds a 36.2% probability to win without conceding, with Croatia at 10.3%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is England to win or draw at 82.2%.

Croatia vs. England odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

England	Croatia	Draw
-150	+460	+285

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+105	-115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

England vs. Croatia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Croatia @ +460 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -115 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: England @ +160 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: England or Croatia @ -390 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Croatia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

England vs. Croatia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 England win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
England 1-0 Croatia	13.9%
England 2-0 Croatia	11.7%
England 1-1 Croatia	11.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.3% chance of both England and Croatia finding the net and a 54.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

England vs. Croatia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in England-Croatia:

England

• Harry Kane: 38.2% probability
• Anthony Gordon: 20.3% probability
• Noni Madueke: 16.8% probability
• Jude Bellingham: 16.0% probability
• Declan Rice: 9.8% probability

Croatia

• Petar Musa: 15.1% probability
• Ivan Perisic: 10.8% probability
• Luka Modric: 9.8% probability
• Martin Baturina: 8.8% probability
• Mario Pasalic: 7.4% probability

England vs. Croatia game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's FIFA World Cup action between England and Croatia at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: England vs. Croatia
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, England has a 58.2% win probability on Wednesday, Croatia has a 17.8% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.