Jul 23, 2026
World Cup betting: Dimers predictions return positive ROI across futures and pre-match markets
Read Article Colombia vs. Congo DR prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Colombia vs Congo DR predictions for World Cup 2026 Tuesday.
Colombia will face Congo DR in Group K of the World Cup 2026 at Estadio Akron on Tuesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Colombia as the most likely winner of the Colombia vs. Congo DR game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Colombia vs. Congo DR prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Colombia and Congo DR, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 62.8% chance of Colombia winning, a 13.9% chance for Congo DR, and a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57.9% chance of staying under, with a 60.6% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Colombia holds a 42.5% probability to win without conceding, with Congo DR given an 8.7% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Colombia to win or draw at 86.1%.
Congo DR vs. Colombia odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Colombia | Congo DR | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -190 | +650 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +118 | -144 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Colombia vs. Congo DR picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Congo DR @ +650 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -144 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: Congo DR @ +775 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Congo DR or Draw @ +150 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -154 via FanDuel
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Congo DR to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Congo DR's odds provide the best value right now.
Colombia vs. Congo DR: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Colombia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Colombia 1-0 Congo DR | 16.1% |
| Colombia 2-0 Congo DR | 13.7% |
| Colombia 1-1 Congo DR | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 39.4% chance of both Colombia and Congo DR finding the net and a 60.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Colombia vs. Congo DR player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Colombia-Congo DR:
Colombia
- Luis Suarez: 28.4% probability
- Luis Diaz: 27.6% probability
- James Rodriguez: 20.8% probability
- Jhon Arias: 16.8% probability
- Jefferson Lerma: 10.4% probability
Congo DR
- Yoane Wissa: 14.8% probability
- Cedric Bakambu: 14.3% probability
- Edo Kayembe: 4.6% probability
- Samuel Moutoussamy: 4.3% probability
- Arthur Masuaku: 3.6% probability
Colombia vs. Congo DR game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's soccer World Cup game between Colombia and Congo DR at Estadio Akron is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Colombia vs. Congo DR
- Date: Tuesday, June 23, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Akron
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
DraftKings promo for Colombia vs. Congo DR
If you're looking to get money down on Colombia or Congo DR, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Colombia has a 62.8% win probability on Tuesday, Congo DR has a 13.9% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
