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Read Article Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Uruguay vs Cabo Verde predictions for World Cup 2026 Sunday.
Uruguay will face Cabo Verde in Group H of the World Cup 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Uruguay as the most likely winner of the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 67.6% chance of Uruguay winning, a 10.1% chance for Cabo Verde, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.5% chance of staying under, with a 67.7% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Uruguay holds a 50.0% probability to win without conceding, with Cabo Verde at 7.0%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Uruguay to win or draw at 89.9%.
Cabo Verde vs. Uruguay odds
We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Uruguay | Cabo Verde | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -250 | +1000 | +360 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +110 | -130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Cabo Verde @ +1000 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -130 via DraftKings
- Win to Nil: Cabo Verde @ +950 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Cabo Verde or Draw @ +200 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -180 via FanDuel
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Uruguay win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Uruguay 1-0 Cabo Verde | 18.6% |
| Uruguay 2-0 Cabo Verde | 16.1% |
| Uruguay 0-0 Cabo Verde | 10.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 32.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 67.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Uruguay-Cabo Verde:
Uruguay
- Federico Vinas: 33.7% probability
- Agustin Canobbio: 23.7% probability
- Federico Valverde: 20.7% probability
- Maxi Araujo: 19.6% probability
- Juan Sanabria: 11.5% probability
Cabo Verde
- Gilson Benchimol: 10.0% probability
- Ryan Mendes: 6.7% probability
- Garry Rodrigues: 6.6% probability
- Telmo Arcanjo: 5.2% probability
- Jamiro Monteiro: 4.6% probability
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's soccer World Cup matchup between Uruguay and Cabo Verde at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde
- Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Uruguay has a 67.6% win probability on Sunday, Cabo Verde has a 10.1% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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