Argentina vs. Austria prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Argentina will face Austria in Group J of the World Cup 2026 at AT&T Stadium on Monday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Argentina as the most likely winner of the Argentina vs. Austria game.

Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Argentina vs. Austria prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 game between Argentina and Austria, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 66.9% chance of Argentina winning, a 12.2% chance for Austria, and a 20.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 58.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 43.8% probability to win without conceding, with Austria at 7.2%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 87.8%.

Austria vs. Argentina odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Argentina	Austria	Draw
-220	+700	+350

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-105	-114

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Argentina vs. Austria picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Austria @ +700 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -114 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Argentina @ +115 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Argentina or Austria @ -450 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -134 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austria to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Argentina vs. Austria: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Argentina 1-0 Austria	14.6%
Argentina 2-0 Austria	13.9%
Argentina 1-1 Austria	9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 41.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 58.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Argentina vs. Austria player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Austria:

Argentina

• Lionel Messi: 39.6% probability
• Lautaro Martinez: 30.9% probability
• Thiago Almada: 18.0% probability
• Enzo Fernandez: 12.8% probability
• Alexis Allister: 12.1% probability

Austria

• Michael Gregoritsch: 13.3% probability
• Marcel Sabitzer: 9.6% probability
• Romano Schmid: 7.1% probability
• Paul Wanner: 6.2% probability
• Konrad Laimer: 5.1% probability

Argentina vs. Austria game-day updates and essential details

Monday's FIFA World Cup action between Argentina and Austria at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Argentina vs. Austria
• Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: AT&T Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Argentina has a 66.9% win probability on Monday, Austria has a 12.2% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.