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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 27, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/27.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 27, 2026—are live with the Fever's Kelsey Mitchell projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mitchell, Dominique Malonga and Aliyah Boston lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 27, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 15.9% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 15.1% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 14.7% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 12.9% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 12.5% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 12.0% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.2% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.2% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.8% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.4% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 8.9% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.8% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.7% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.5% |
| Raven Johnson (Fever) | 7.3% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 6.9% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.9% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 5.5% |
| Tyasha Harris (Fever) | 3.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 27, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 2.9% | +950 | 12.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.1% | +1000 | 11.2% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 0.1% | +800 | 11.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/27.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 27, 2026, Kelsey Mitchell, Dominique Malonga and Aliyah Boston lead our first basket projections, while Rae Burrell shapes as the strongest value play at +950. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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