Jul 22, 2026
Sky vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [7/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, July 20, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/20.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, July 20, 2026—are live with the Liberty's Breanna Stewart projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Stewart, Breanna Stewart and A'ja Wilson lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 20, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 15.6% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.4% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 15.4% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 15.3% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.3% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 14.2% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 13.6% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 13.2% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 12.8% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 12.6% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 12.1% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.0% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 11.9% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.5% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 11.3% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.8% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.7% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.7% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.6% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.4% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 10.3% |
| Maddy Siegrist (Wings) | 10.2% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 9.9% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 9.7% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 8.7% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.5% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.5% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.2% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 7.6% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.4% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 7.0% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.0% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.9% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.6% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.6% |
| Cotie McMahon (Mystics) | 6.1% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.6% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.4% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.0% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 4.7% |
| Dorka Juhasz (Lynx) | 4.6% |
| Rebecca Allen (Liberty) | 2.9% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 20, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 3.7% | +1100 | 12.0% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.9% | +700 | 15.4% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 2.8% | +1000 | 11.9% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 2.0% | +1100 | 10.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 1.8% | +1400 | 8.5% |
| Jessica Shepard | Wings | 1.5% | +730 | 13.6% |
| Pauline Astier | Liberty | 1.0% | +1200 | 8.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 0.8% | +660 | 14.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 0.8% | +1000 | 9.9% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 0.7% | +1400 | 7.4% |
| Georgia Amoore | Mystics | 0.6% | +1460 | 7.0% |
| Laura Juskaite | Tempo | 0.2% | +950 | 9.7% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/20.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, July 20, 2026, Breanna Stewart, Breanna Stewart and A'ja Wilson lead our first basket projections, while Natisha Hiedeman shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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