Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, June 26, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/26.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, June 26, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 26, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 16.8% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.7% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.7% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 13.5% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.3% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.9% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 12.0% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.6% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.2% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 11.1% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.9% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 10.8% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 10.5% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.5% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 10.5% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 10.4% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.7% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 9.5% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 9.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.6% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 7.7% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.6% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.5% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.2% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.2% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 4.2% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.1% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 26, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 7.0% | +1400 | 13.7% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 3.4% | +1300 | 10.5% |
| Gabriela Jaquez | Sky | 3.3% | +1500 | 9.5% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 3.2% | +1200 | 10.9% |
| Allisha Gray | Dream | 1.7% | +950 | 11.2% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 1.4% | +550 | 16.8% |
| Naz Hillmon | Dream | 0.5% | +1300 | 7.7% |
| Diamond Miller | Sun | 0.5% | +900 | 10.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 0.5% | +1400 | 7.2% |
| Kiki Iriafen | Mystics | 0.2% | +650 | 13.5% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/26.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, June 26, 2026, Gabby Williams, Brittney Griner and Megan Gustafson lead our first basket projections, with Gustafson shaping as the strongest value play at +1400. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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