Lynx vs. Storm prediction: Minnesota favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [7/22/2026]

The Seattle Storm and Minnesota Lynx will lock horns in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Storm game.

The Storm, who have the likes of Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson, are set to take on the Lynx, whose lineup includes Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Lynx vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 79.8% chance of defeating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+10.5) have a 56.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 65.6% chance of staying under,.

Lynx vs. Storm odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lynx	Storm
Spread	-10.5 (-106)	+10.5 (+100)
Moneyline	-413	+400
Total	o178.5 (-110)	u178.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lynx vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +10.5	+100
Moneyline	Storm	+400
Total	Under 178.5	+102

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Lynx vs. Storm player props

Looking for Lynx vs. Storm WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 16 points, 2 rebounds and 5 assists for the Storm.

When evaluating the first basket market, Kayla McBride is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.3% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	17	3	3	2	32
C. Williams	16	6	6	1	38
Olivia Miles	16	6	5	1	37
Natasha Howard	14	7	2	0	32
N. Collier	10	4	1	1	21

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	16	2	5	2	32
D. Malonga	16	9	2	1	36
F. Johnson	14	4	3	1	29
Awa Fam	12	6	2	3	29
Jade Melbourne	8	2	4	1	19

Lynx vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Storm and Lynx at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 79.8% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.