Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]

WNBA action continues on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET as the Minnesota Lynx lock horns with the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sun game.

The Sun, with the likes of Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Diamond Miller, are set to take on the Lynx, who feature Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Natasha Howard.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lynx a 75.9% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+7.5) have a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 60.1% chance of staying under,.

Lynx vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lynx	Sun
Spread	-7.5 (-106)	+7.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-308	+265
Total	o166.5 (-102)	u166.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lynx vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +7.5	-105
Moneyline	Lynx	novig-308
Total	Under 166.5	-105

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 166.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Lynx vs. Sun player props

Betting on Minnesota vs. Connecticut WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Natasha Howard striking first with a 13.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	17	3	3	3	32
C. Williams	16	5	6	1	36
Natasha Howard	15	7	3	0	35
Nia Coffey	9	5	2	2	25
Dorka Juhasz	7	6	2	0	21

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Leila Lacan	13	2	4	1	29
O. Nelson-Ododa	12	7	2	0	30
Diamond Miller	10	3	2	1	19
Kennedy Burke	10	3	2	1	20
Aaliyah Edwards	8	5	1	0	19

Lynx vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Sun and Lynx at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 75.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.