Sparks vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/13/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The New York Liberty will face the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner in this Sparks vs. Liberty prediction.
The Liberty, with star players such as Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Sparks, featuring Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Rae Burrell.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 77.3% chance of beating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Sparks (+8.5) have a 53.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 187.5-point over/under has a 56.8% chance of staying under,.
Sparks vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Sparks +8.5 (-108) / Liberty -8.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Sparks +317, Liberty -335
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Sparks +8.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Liberty @ -335 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 187.5 @ -104 via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 187.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Liberty player props
Looking for Los Angeles vs. New York WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
When evaluating the first basket market, Dearica Hamby is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Ariel Atkins | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Erica Wheeler | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 40 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Marine Johannes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| Pauline Astier | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Sparks vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Liberty and Sparks at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 77.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
