Fever vs. Liberty prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 16 points in Saturday's WNBA game [6/6/2026]

The New York Liberty will square off with the Indiana Fever in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Liberty game.

The Liberty, who have star players like Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Pauline Astier, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.

Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 16 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Liberty a 60.9% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Liberty (-2.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 174.5 points has a 65.0% chance of staying under.

Fever vs. Liberty odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Liberty
Spread	+2.5 (-105)	-2.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+125	-148
Total	o174.5 (-110)	u174.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fever +2.5	-105
Moneyline	Liberty	-148
Total	Under 174.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Liberty player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Fever vs. Liberty matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 13.8% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	21	2	3	3	32
Caitlin Clark	16	5	7	3	40
Aliyah Boston	13	7	4	0	31
S. Cunningham	8	3	1	2	17
Makayla Timpson	5	4	0	0	14

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	19	7	3	1	39
Jonquel Jones	15	8	3	2	35
Pauline Astier	12	3	4	1	25
Satou Sabally	9	3	1	1	18
Leonie Fiebich	9	3	2	1	19

Fever vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Liberty and Fever at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Saturday, June 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 60.9% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.