Sky vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [7/22/2026]

The New York Liberty will take on the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Liberty game.

The Liberty, with stars such as Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Sky, whose lineup includes Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens and Kamilla Cardoso.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Sky and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 76.8% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Sky and Liberty each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178 points has a 65.3% chance of staying under,.

Sky vs. Liberty odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Liberty
Spread	+7.5 (-102)	-7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+280	-300
Total	o178 (-115)	u178 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +7.5	-102
Moneyline	Liberty	-300
Total	Under 178	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Liberty player props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Wednesday's Chicago vs. New York game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 18 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.

For early game action, the data identifies Breanna Stewart as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sydney Taylor	18	2	2	3	28
Azura Stevens	13	8	3	2	32
Kamilla Cardoso	12	7	3	0	29
Natasha Cloud	11	4	4	1	27
C. Vandersloot	7	2	4	1	20

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	20	8	3	1	44
Sabrina Ionescu	20	5	6	2	41
Jonquel Jones	15	10	3	2	39
Pauline Astier	11	3	4	1	24
Han Xu	7	3	1	1	16

Sky vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Liberty and Sky at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 76.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.