Sonay Kartal vs. Andrea Lazaro Garcia prediction, odds, picks for WTA China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Kartal-Lazaro Garcia women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Kartal a 78% chance of defeating Lazaro Garcia at the WTA China Open tournament. Additionally, Kartal has a 73% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Lazaro Garcia (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Andrea Lazaro Garcia +300, Sonay Kartal -357
• First Set: Kartal -303, Lazaro Garcia +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kartal @ -357 via DraftKings
• First Set: Lazaro Garcia @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA China Open match between Sonay Kartal and Andrea Lazaro Garcia is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 12:10 AM ET.

• Who: Sonay Kartal vs. Andrea Lazaro Garcia
• Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
• Approx. Time: 12:10 AM ET/9:10PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Beijing, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Sonay Kartal, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Andrea Lazaro Garcia at the WTA China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.