Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Qinwen Zheng will face Elena Rybakina in the quarterfinals of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Wednesday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elena Rybakina as the most likely winner in this Zheng vs. Rybakina prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Zheng vs. Rybakina prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Zheng-Rybakina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Rybakina a 72% chance of beating Zheng in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Rybakina has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rybakina (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elena Rybakina -278, Qinwen Zheng +250
• First Set: Zheng +200, Rybakina -250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Rybakina @ -278 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rybakina @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina
• Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Elena Rybakina, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Qinwen Zheng at the US Open 2026.

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