Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Novak Djokovic will face Hubert Hurkacz in the round of 64 at the ATP Shanghai event on Friday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Novak Djokovic as the most likely winner in this Djokovic vs. Hurkacz prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Djokovic vs. Hurkacz prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Djokovic-Hurkacz men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Djokovic a 62% chance of defeating Hurkacz at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Djokovic has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Djokovic (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 25.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Hubert Hurkacz +154, Novak Djokovic -170
• First Set: Djokovic -164, Hurkacz +130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Djokovic @ -170 via DraftKings
• First Set: Hurkacz @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Novak Djokovic to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz is scheduled to commence on Friday at 6:00 AM ET.

• Who: Novak Djokovic vs. Hubert Hurkacz
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Novak Djokovic, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Hubert Hurkacz at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.