Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Basilashvili-Mannarino men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Basilashvili a 51% chance of defeating Mannarino at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Basilashvili has a 52% chance of winning the first set, while the under 24.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Adrian Mannarino +112, Nikoloz Basilashvili -125
• First Set: Basilashvili -125, Mannarino +100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mannarino @ +112 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mannarino @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Adrian Mannarino to win.

Although Mannarino is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino is scheduled to start on Friday at 2:30 AM ET.

• Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Adrian Mannarino
• Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 AM ET/11:30 PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Nikoloz Basilashvili, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.