Karen Khachanov vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's Khachanov-Auger-Aliassime men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Auger-Aliassime a 54% chance of defeating Khachanov at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a 53% chance of winning the first set, while the under 24.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Felix Auger-Aliassime -162, Karen Khachanov +138
• First Set: Khachanov +120, Auger-Aliassime -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Khachanov @ +138 via DraftKings
• First Set: Auger-Aliassime @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win.

Although Khachanov is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Karen Khachanov and Felix Auger-Aliassime is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
• Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Karen Khachanov at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.