James Duckworth vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Duckworth-Darderi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Darderi a 55% chance of defeating Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Darderi has a 53% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Luciano Darderi -129, James Duckworth +120
• First Set: Duckworth +120, Darderi -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Duckworth @ +120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Darderi @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 2:30 AM ET.

• Who: James Duckworth vs. Luciano Darderi
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 AM ET/11:30 PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.