Francisco Cerundolo vs. Jakub Mensik prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Cerundolo-Mensik men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mensik a 59% chance of winning against Cerundolo at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, Mensik has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Cerundolo (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jakub Mensik -190, Francisco Cerundolo +162
• First Set: Cerundolo +130, Mensik -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cerundolo @ +162 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mensik @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Francisco Cerundolo to win.

Although Cerundolo is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Jakub Mensik
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Francisco Cerundolo at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.