Denis Shapovalov vs. Karen Khachanov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's Shapovalov-Khachanov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Khachanov a 60% chance of winning against Shapovalov at the ATP Paris Masters tournament. Additionally, Khachanov has a 57% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Karen Khachanov -167, Denis Shapovalov +150
• First Set: Shapovalov +130, Khachanov -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Shapovalov @ +150 via DraftKings
• First Set: Khachanov @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 23.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Paris Masters match between Denis Shapovalov and Karen Khachanov is scheduled to commence on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Denis Shapovalov vs. Karen Khachanov
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Denis Shapovalov at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.