Claire Liu vs. Katie Boulter prediction, odds, picks for WTA Hong Kong Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Liu-Boulter women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Boulter a 59% chance of defeating Liu at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament. Additionally, Boulter has a 57% chance of winning the first set, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Katie Boulter -154, Claire Liu +138
• First Set: Liu +130, Boulter -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Liu @ +138 via DraftKings
• First Set: Boulter @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA Hong Kong Open match between Claire Liu and Katie Boulter is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 2:10 AM ET.

• Who: Claire Liu vs. Katie Boulter
• Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 AM ET/11:10 PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Hong Kong, Hong Kong Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Katie Boulter, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Claire Liu at the WTA Hong Kong Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.