Cameron Norrie vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Norrie-Medvedev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Medvedev an 82% chance of winning against Norrie at the ATP Vienna Open tournament. Additionally, Medvedev has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniil Medvedev -549, Cameron Norrie +450
• First Set: Norrie +333, Medvedev -455

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Norrie @ +450 via DraftKings
• First Set: Medvedev @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Cameron Norrie to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 8:30 AM ET.

• Who: Cameron Norrie vs. Daniil Medvedev
• Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Cameron Norrie at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.