Alexander Bublik vs. Jakub Mensik prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Bublik-Mensik men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mensik a 59% chance of winning against Bublik at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, Mensik has a 57% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jakub Mensik -174, Alexander Bublik +162
• First Set: Bublik +137, Mensik -175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bublik @ +162 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mensik @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alexander Bublik to win.

Although Bublik is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Alexander Bublik vs. Jakub Mensik
• Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jakub Mensik, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Alexander Bublik at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.