Stars vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Stars
- Capitals
- Jason Robertson36.2%
- Wyatt Johnston34.8%
- Mikko Rantanen28.5%
- Roope Hintz
- Tyler Seguin
- Alex Tuch32.3%
- Tom Wilson25.1%
- Jordan Kyrou22.8%
- Alex Ovechkin
- Jakob Chychrun
Stars vs. Capitals prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Tuesday
- Teams: Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Stars (+1.5, -257), Capitals (-1.5, +251)
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5 goals (-115/+111)
- Moneyline: Stars +100, Capitals -104
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Stars: 48.9%
- Capitals: 51.0%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Stars vs. Capitals player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Jason Robertson, Stars: 34.7%
- Wyatt Johnston, Stars: 34.1%
- Alex Tuch, Capitals: 33.6%
- Tom Wilson, Capitals: 25.4%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 48.9%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 51.0%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Stars in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Tuesday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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