Canadiens vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Stars NHL game on January 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
4
3
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
1 2 0 1 4
Stars
1 1 1 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Stars
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
1 2 0 1 4
Stars
1 1 1 0 3
OT1 03:39 Goal scored by Lane Hutson
OT1 03:31 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
OT1 03:23 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 03:12 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
OT1 02:18 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
OT1 02:07 Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Samuel Montembeault
OT1 01:53 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
OT1 01:37 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
OT1 01:24 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
OT1 00:58 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P3 15:54 Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P3 14:47 Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
P3 14:39 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 14:33 Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 13:01 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 11:55 Esa Lindell shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:44 Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
P3 11:07 Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
P3 11:04 Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 03:40
    Canadiens won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  3. OT1 03:39
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lane Hutson
    4-3
  4. OT1 03:33
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  5. OT1 03:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  6. OT1 03:31
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  7. OT1 03:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
  8. OT1 03:12
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  9. OT1 02:18
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  10. OT1 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Samuel Montembeault
  11. OT1 01:55
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  12. OT1 01:55
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  13. OT1 01:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  14. OT1 01:39
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Mikko Rantanen in defensive zone
  15. OT1 01:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. OT1 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
  17. OT1 01:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
  18. OT1 00:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  19. OT1 00:42
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  20. OT1 00:00
    Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  21. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  22. P3 16:00
    Alexandre Texier won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  23. P3 15:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  24. P3 14:49
    Shorthanded - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  25. P3 14:49
    Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Hooking
  26. P3 14:47
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by teammate
  27. P3 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  28. P3 14:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  29. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
  30. P3 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
  31. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  32. P3 11:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
  33. P3 11:07
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  34. P3 11:07
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
    3-3
  35. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  36. P3 10:58
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  37. P3 10:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  39. P3 09:59
    SHOT
    Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  40. P3 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Samuel Montembeault
  41. P3 08:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
  42. P3 08:48
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  43. P3 08:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  44. P3 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Samuel Montembeault
  45. P3 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arber Xhekaj saved by Jake Oettinger
  46. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Samuel Montembeault
  47. P3 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
  48. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  49. P3 07:23
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  50. P3 07:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  51. P3 07:21
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
  52. P3 07:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  53. P3 07:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  54. P3 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Roope Hintz
  55. P3 06:18
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  56. P3 05:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  57. P3 05:09
    SHOT
    Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Mikko Rantanen
  58. P3 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikko Rantanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  59. P3 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  60. P3 04:06
    Giveaway by Roope Hintz in offensive zone
  61. P3 02:21
    Giveaway by Alexander Petrovic in defensive zone
  62. P3 02:03
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  63. P3 02:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  64. P3 01:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
  65. P3 00:06
    Lane Hutson credited with hit on Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  66. P3 00:00
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  67. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  68. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Samuel Montembeault
  69. P2 19:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  70. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canadiens
  71. P2 18:57
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  72. P2 18:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 18:39
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
  74. P2 18:38
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
    3-2
  75. P2 18:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
  76. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  77. P2 18:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  78. P2 18:10
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  79. P2 18:10
    Penalty to Sam Steel 2 minutes for Slashing
  80. P2 17:27
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Owen Beck in defensive zone
  81. P2 17:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  82. P2 17:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  83. P2 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
  84. P2 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
  85. P2 15:49
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Roope Hintz in offensive zone
  86. P2 15:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  87. P2 15:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  88. P2 15:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
  89. P2 15:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Justin Hryckowian
  90. P2 15:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  91. P2 14:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jake Oettinger
  92. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Jake Oettinger
  93. P2 14:00
    Shorthanded - Oskar Back won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  94. P2 13:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikko Rantanen
  95. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Jake Oettinger
  96. P2 12:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
  97. P2 12:10
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  98. P2 12:10
    Stoppage - Offside
  99. P2 11:59
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  100. P2 11:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Oliver Kapanen
    2-2
  101. P2 11:46
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  102. P2 11:46
    Stoppage - Offside
  103. P2 11:33
    Radek Faksa won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  104. P2 11:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  105. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  106. P2 10:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Jake Oettinger
  107. P2 10:24
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  108. P2 10:24
    Stoppage
  109. P2 10:14
    Owen Beck won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  110. P2 10:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  111. P2 08:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
  112. P2 08:21
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
  113. P2 08:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  114. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  115. P2 08:13
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  116. P2 08:13
    Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Zachary Bolduc)
  117. P2 07:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
  118. P2 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  119. P2 07:04
    Roope Hintz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  120. P2 07:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  121. P2 07:02
    SHOT
    Alexandre Carrier shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
  122. P2 06:56
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  123. P2 06:38
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
  124. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Stars
  125. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
  126. P2 05:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  127. P2 04:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Radek Faksa saved by Samuel Montembeault
  128. P2 04:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Beck
  129. P2 04:21
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  130. P2 03:14
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  131. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
  132. P2 02:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Jake Oettinger
  133. P2 02:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  134. P2 02:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Jake Oettinger
  135. P2 01:36
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  136. P2 01:36
    Penalty to Ilya Lyubushkin 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Zachary Bolduc)
  137. P2 01:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Jake Oettinger
  138. P2 00:32
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  139. P2 00:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  140. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Radek Faksa won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  141. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  142. P1 19:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  143. P1 19:50
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Radek Faksa
  144. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Jake Oettinger
  145. P1 19:33
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Radek Faksa in offensive zone
  146. P1 19:33
    Penalty to Jamie Benn 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
  147. P1 19:03
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  148. P1 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Samuel Montembeault
  149. P1 18:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  150. P1 18:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matt Duchene
  151. P1 17:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
  152. P1 16:57
    Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  153. P1 16:57
    Stoppage - Offside
  154. P1 16:18
    Power play - Mikko Rantanen won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  155. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  156. P1 15:25
    SHOT
    Owen Beck shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  157. P1 14:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Samuel Montembeault
  158. P1 14:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jamie Benn in neutral zone
  159. P1 14:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  160. P1 13:53
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in neutral zone
  161. P1 13:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mavrik Bourque
    1-1
  162. P1 13:23
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
  163. P1 13:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  164. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
  165. P1 12:30
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  166. P1 12:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  167. P1 12:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Erne
  168. P1 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
  169. P1 10:49
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  170. P1 10:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Jake Oettinger
  171. P1 10:16
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  172. P1 10:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  173. P1 10:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  174. P1 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Duchene
  175. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  176. P1 09:37
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  177. P1 08:42
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
  178. P1 08:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
  179. P1 07:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Jake Oettinger
  180. P1 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Jake Oettinger
  181. P1 07:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Samuel Montembeault
  182. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Samuel Montembeault
  183. P1 05:39
    Oskar Back won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
  184. P1 05:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  185. P1 04:41
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  186. P1 04:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  187. P1 04:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Jake Oettinger
  188. P1 04:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  189. P1 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Samuel Montembeault
  190. P1 02:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oskar Back
  191. P1 02:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Samuel Montembeault
  192. P1 02:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oskar Back
  193. P1 02:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nils Lundkvist
  194. P1 02:00
    SHOT
    Brendan Gallagher shot blocked by Alexander Petrovic
  195. P1 01:36
    SHOT
    Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  196. P1 01:33
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  197. P1 01:07
    Giveaway by Alexandre Texier in neutral zone
  198. P1 01:02
    Giveaway by Mavrik Bourque in offensive zone
  199. P1 00:52
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  200. P1 00:38
    Giveaway by Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  201. P1 00:12
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
  202. P1 00:12
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  203. P1 00:00
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  204. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Stars
29Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
30Hits15
13 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways15
CanadiensMTL
StarsDAL
29Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins10
30Hits15
13 Shots Blocked 15
14Giveaways15

Canadiens vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Stars
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +175, Stars -185

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 39%
  • Stars: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 39%, while the Stars have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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