Penguins vs. Red Wings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Red Wings NHL game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
4
1
Little Caesars Arena
Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 0 2 4
Red Wings
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Red Wings
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
2 0 2 4
Red Wings
0 1 0 1
P3 19:28 Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte
P3 19:27 Shot missed by Connor Dewar
P3 19:00 Goal scored by Rickard Rakell
P3 18:27 Connor Dewar shot blocked by Moritz Seider
P3 17:49 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 16:12 Kris Letang shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
P3 15:16 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
P3 14:49 Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
P3 11:25 Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 10:50 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by John Gibson
P3 10:45 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:55 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 09:06 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 08:57 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
P3 08:45 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 08:30 Shot missed by Albert Johansson
P3 08:23 Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 07:34 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:28
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:28
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Connor Dewar assisted by Blake Lizotte
    4-1
  4. P3 19:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  5. P3 19:00
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  6. P3 19:00
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Rickard Rakell
    3-1
  7. P3 18:27
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  8. P3 17:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  9. P3 16:12
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  10. P3 15:58
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  11. P3 15:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  12. P3 15:16
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  13. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
  14. P3 14:49
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  15. P3 12:27
    Giveaway by Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  16. P3 12:10
    Takeaway by Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  17. P3 12:08
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  18. P3 11:45
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  19. P3 11:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 11:25
    SHOT
    Michael Rasmussen shot blocked by Kris Letang
  21. P3 10:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by John Gibson
  22. P3 10:48
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  23. P3 10:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 10:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
  25. P3 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  26. P3 09:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Penguins
  27. P3 09:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  28. P3 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
  29. P3 08:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
  30. P3 08:31
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Albert Johansson
  33. P3 08:25
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  34. P3 08:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  35. P3 08:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  36. P3 07:40
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Lucas Raymond in offensive zone
  37. P3 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
  38. P3 06:46
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Marco Kasper in defensive zone
  39. P3 06:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  40. P3 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Stuart Skinner
  41. P3 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack St. Ivany
  42. P3 06:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  43. P3 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emmitt Finnie saved by Stuart Skinner
  44. P3 03:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
  45. P3 03:51
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by teammate
  46. P3 03:49
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  47. P3 03:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  48. P3 03:17
    SHOT
    Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Kris Letang
  49. P3 02:56
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Patrick Kane
  50. P3 02:47
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
  51. P3 02:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  52. P3 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by John Gibson
  53. P3 02:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  54. P3 02:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  55. P3 02:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
  56. P3 02:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
  57. P3 01:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  58. P3 00:34
    Shorthanded - J.T. Compher won faceoff against Bryan Rust in defensive zone
  59. P3 00:34
    Penalty to Simon Edvinsson 2 minutes for Hooking
  60. P3 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
  61. P3 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  62. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  63. P2 19:59
    SHOT
    Marco Kasper shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  64. P2 19:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
  65. P2 18:26
    Power play - Andrew Copp credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
  66. P2 17:57
    Power play - Giveaway by Axel Sandin-Pellikka in offensive zone
  67. P2 17:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Andrew Copp saved by Stuart Skinner
  68. P2 17:25
    Power play - Andrew Copp won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  69. P2 17:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  70. P2 17:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Larkin saved by Stuart Skinner
  71. P2 17:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lucas Raymond
  72. P2 16:41
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  73. P2 16:41
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  74. P2 16:41
    Penalty to Thomas Novak 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Emmitt Finnie)
  75. P2 15:17
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  76. P2 15:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  77. P2 15:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
  78. P2 15:06
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  79. P2 15:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex DeBrincat
  80. P2 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
  81. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
  82. P2 14:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Novak saved by John Gibson
  83. P2 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by John Gibson
  84. P2 13:57
    SHOT
    Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  85. P2 13:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by John Gibson
  86. P2 12:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Albert Johansson
  87. P2 12:29
    SHOT
    Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  88. P2 11:49
    Giveaway by Kris Letang in defensive zone
  89. P2 11:34
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Andrew Copp
  90. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  91. P2 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
  92. P2 09:58
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  93. P2 09:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  94. P2 09:49
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  95. P2 09:49
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  96. P2 09:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  97. P2 08:52
    SHOT
    Kris Letang shot blocked by Alex DeBrincat
  98. P2 08:47
    SHOT
    Bryan Rust shot blocked by Moritz Seider
  99. P2 08:11
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by teammate
  100. P2 07:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  101. P2 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by John Gibson
  102. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Axel Sandin-Pellikka saved by Stuart Skinner
  103. P2 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nate Danielson
  104. P2 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  105. P2 04:45
    Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Jacob Bernard-Docker in offensive zone
  106. P2 04:32
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  107. P2 04:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  108. P2 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by John Gibson
  109. P2 04:21
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  110. P2 04:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  111. P2 04:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by John Gibson
  112. P2 03:55
    Giveaway by Michael Rasmussen in defensive zone
  113. P2 03:05
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by teammate
  114. P2 03:03
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
  115. P2 03:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  116. P2 02:09
    Marco Kasper won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  117. P2 02:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  118. P2 02:04
    Giveaway by Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
  119. P2 01:35
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  120. P2 01:35
    Stoppage - Icing
  121. P2 01:32
    Jacob Bernard-Docker credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  122. P2 01:02
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in defensive zone
  123. P2 01:02
    Stoppage - High Stick
  124. P2 00:49
    SHOT
    Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  125. P2 00:46
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  126. P2 00:46
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  127. P2 00:38
    SHOT
    Mason Appleton shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  128. P2 00:17
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  129. P2 00:13
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  130. P2 00:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  131. P2 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Moritz Seider
  132. P2 00:00
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  133. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  134. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Appleton saved by Stuart Skinner
  135. P1 19:39
    Takeaway by J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  136. P1 19:11
    SHOT
    Moritz Seider shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
  137. P1 18:35
    SHOT
    Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
  138. P1 18:32
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Nate Danielson in offensive zone
  139. P1 18:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  140. P1 18:00
    SHOT
    Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  141. P1 17:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  142. P1 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex DeBrincat saved by Stuart Skinner
  143. P1 17:30
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  144. P1 17:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
  145. P1 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack St. Ivany saved by John Gibson
  146. P1 16:13
    SHOT
    Rickard Rakell shot blocked by Ben Chiarot
  147. P1 16:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by John Gibson
  148. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Emmitt Finnie shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  149. P1 15:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by James van Riemsdyk
  150. P1 14:59
    Nate Danielson won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  151. P1 14:59
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  152. P1 14:57
    SHOT
    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  153. P1 14:25
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in defensive zone
  154. P1 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  155. P1 14:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Patrick Kane saved by Stuart Skinner
  156. P1 13:51
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  157. P1 13:51
    Stoppage - Icing
  158. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Yegor Chinakhov
  159. P1 13:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by James van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
  160. P1 12:34
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Marco Kasper in offensive zone
  161. P1 12:34
    Stoppage - Icing
  162. P1 12:18
    SHOT
    Simon Edvinsson shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  163. P1 11:28
    Emmitt Finnie won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  164. P1 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by John Gibson
  165. P1 11:00
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Andrew Copp in defensive zone
  166. P1 11:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  167. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Compher
  168. P1 10:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  169. P1 09:54
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Andrew Copp in neutral zone
  170. P1 09:54
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  171. P1 09:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by John Gibson
  172. P1 08:47
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against J.T. Compher in offensive zone
  173. P1 08:47
    Penalty to Moritz Seider 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Connor Dewar)
  174. P1 08:41
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  175. P1 08:40
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by John Gibson
  176. P1 08:07
    Shorthanded - Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  177. P1 08:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  178. P1 07:45
    Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  179. P1 07:45
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  180. P1 07:45
    Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Andrew Copp)
  181. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Michael Rasmussen
  182. P1 06:40
    J.T. Compher won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  183. P1 06:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  184. P1 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Axel Sandin-Pellikka
  185. P1 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Larkin
  186. P1 05:33
    Marco Kasper credited with hit on Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  187. P1 05:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by John Gibson
  188. P1 04:48
    SHOT
    Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  189. P1 04:23
    Andrew Copp won faceoff against Rutger McGroarty in defensive zone
  190. P1 04:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  191. P1 04:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by John Gibson
  192. P1 03:44
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against J.T. Compher in neutral zone
  193. P1 03:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Sidney Crosby and Parker Wotherspoon
    1-0
  194. P1 03:37
    Giveaway by Emmitt Finnie in defensive zone
  195. P1 03:31
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  196. P1 03:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  197. P1 03:06
    Dylan Larkin won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  198. P1 03:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  199. P1 03:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by John Gibson
  200. P1 02:38
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson
  201. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Patrick Kane
  202. P1 02:07
    Giveaway by Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
  203. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  204. P1 00:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  205. P1 00:50
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in offensive zone
  206. P1 00:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  207. P1 00:29
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in defensive zone
  208. P1 00:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  209. P1 00:10
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin in neutral zone
  210. P1 00:00
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Dylan Larkin
  211. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Red Wings
31Shots on Goal12
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits21
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways19
PenguinsPIT
Red WingsDET
31Shots on Goal12
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
20Hits21
13 Shots Blocked 12
16Giveaways19

Penguins vs. Red Wings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Red Wings
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Wings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +115, Red Wings -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 46%
  • Red Wings: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 46%, while the Red Wings have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Wings are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Red Wings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.