Jets vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Sabres NHL game on December 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Jets
1
5
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Jets
0 1 0 1
Sabres
3 1 1 5
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jets
    0%
  • Sabres
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
0 1 0 1
Sabres
3 1 1 5
P3 19:43 Shot missed by Gustav Nyquist
P3 19:18 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Thomas Milic
P3 19:11 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Thomas Milic
P3 18:42 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Thomas Milic
P3 18:36 Colin Miller shot blocked by Alex Tuch
P3 18:31 Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:40 Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Thomas Milic
P3 15:12 Owen Power shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Thomas Milic
P3 13:22 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nino Niederreiter
P3 12:31 Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:19 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Thomas Milic
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Thomas Milic
P3 10:32 Power play - Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 09:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Iafallo saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 09:25 Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:45 Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Thomas Milic
P3 07:39 Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Thomas Milic
P3 07:35 Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Thomas Milic
P3 07:16 Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:45
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Morgan Barron in defensive zone
  3. P3 19:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  4. P3 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gustav Nyquist
  5. P3 19:36
    Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  6. P3 19:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Thomas Milic
  7. P3 19:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Thomas Milic
  8. P3 18:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Thomas Milic
  9. P3 18:36
    SHOT
    Colin Miller shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  10. P3 18:35
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  11. P3 18:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  12. P3 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  13. P3 18:13
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  14. P3 18:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  15. P3 18:01
    Giveaway by Dylan DeMelo in defensive zone
  16. P3 17:57
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  17. P3 17:57
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  18. P3 17:41
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  19. P3 17:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  20. P3 15:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Thomas Milic
  21. P3 15:12
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
  22. P3 14:01
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  23. P3 14:01
    Penalty to Logan Stanley 10 minutes for Misconduct
  24. P3 14:01
    Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Misconduct
  25. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Thomas Milic
  26. P3 13:24
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  27. P3 13:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  28. P3 13:22
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nino Niederreiter
  29. P3 12:41
    Takeaway by Alex Tuch in defensive zone
  30. P3 12:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  31. P3 12:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Thomas Milic
  32. P3 11:35
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  33. P3 11:35
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  34. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Thomas Milic
  35. P3 11:15
    Takeaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
  36. P3 10:57
    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson in defensive zone
  37. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
  38. P3 09:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Iafallo saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  39. P3 09:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  40. P3 08:55
    Power play - Giveaway by Gabriel Vilardi in offensive zone
  41. P3 08:52
    Power play - Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  42. P3 08:52
    Penalty to Jason Zucker 2 minutes for Misconduct
  43. P3 08:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  44. P3 08:14
    Takeaway by Alex Iafallo in defensive zone
  45. P3 07:47
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  46. P3 07:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  47. P3 07:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Thomas Milic
  48. P3 07:40
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
  49. P3 07:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  50. P3 07:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Thomas Milic
  51. P3 07:38
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
  52. P3 07:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  53. P3 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Thomas Milic
  54. P3 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  55. P3 06:23
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  56. P3 06:23
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  57. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Kyle Connor
  58. P3 05:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  59. P3 05:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
  60. P3 05:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
  61. P3 03:51
    Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  62. P3 03:51
    Penalty to Logan Stanley 2 minutes for Misconduct
  63. P3 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  64. P3 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Thomas Milic
  65. P3 02:50
    Giveaway by Noah Ostlund in defensive zone
  66. P3 02:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  67. P3 02:00
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Josh Doan in defensive zone
  68. P3 01:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonathan Toews saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  69. P3 01:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  70. P3 00:45
    Logan Stanley credited with hit on Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  71. P3 00:41
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  72. P3 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Norris
  73. P3 00:00
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  74. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  75. P2 19:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  76. P2 19:15
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  77. P2 19:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P2 19:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  79. P2 18:51
    Giveaway by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in defensive zone
  80. P2 18:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  81. P2 18:18
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
  82. P2 18:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Thomas Milic
  83. P2 18:09
    Giveaway by Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  84. P2 17:57
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
  85. P2 17:21
    SHOT
    Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  86. P2 17:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jets
  87. P2 16:57
    SHOT
    Dylan Samberg shot blocked by teammate
  88. P2 16:40
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  89. P2 16:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  90. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Colin Miller shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  91. P2 15:33
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Colin Miller
  92. P2 15:19
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  93. P2 15:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  94. P2 14:51
    Takeaway by Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  95. P2 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  96. P2 14:17
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  97. P2 14:17
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  98. P2 13:07
    Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
  99. P2 12:54
    Giveaway by Gustav Nyquist in neutral zone
  100. P2 12:49
    Morgan Barron won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  101. P2 12:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  102. P2 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Thomas Milic
  103. P2 12:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Thomas Milic
  104. P2 11:26
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  105. P2 11:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  106. P2 10:56
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  107. P2 10:56
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  108. P2 10:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  109. P2 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  110. P2 10:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  111. P2 09:49
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
  112. P2 09:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  113. P2 09:17
    Adam Lowry won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  114. P2 09:17
    Stoppage - Offside
  115. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Thomas Milic
  116. P2 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Colin Miller
  117. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Colin Miller shot blocked by Beck Malenstyn
  118. P2 08:15
    SHOT
    Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
  119. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Jacob Bryson shot blocked by teammate
  120. P2 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  121. P2 07:37
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  122. P2 07:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  123. P2 07:31
    SHOT
    Vladislav Namestnikov shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  124. P2 07:24
    Giveaway by Conor Timmins in offensive zone
  125. P2 07:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Nyquist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  126. P2 06:40
    SHOT
    Noah Ostlund shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
  127. P2 05:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
  128. P2 05:51
    SHOT
    Kyle Connor shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  129. P2 05:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Thomas Milic
  130. P2 04:16
    SHOT
    Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
  131. P2 01:33
    Giveaway by Cole Perfetti in defensive zone
  132. P2 01:18
    Giveaway by Josh Norris in offensive zone
  133. P2 00:49
    Dylan Samberg credited with hit on Beck Malenstyn in defensive zone
  134. P2 00:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Thomas Milic
  135. P2 00:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  136. P2 00:00
    Jets replaced goalie. (Thomas Milic)
  137. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  138. P1 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan DeMelo
  139. P1 19:47
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Kyle Connor
  140. P1 19:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
  141. P1 18:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
  142. P1 17:21
    SHOT
    Dylan Samberg shot blocked by teammate
  143. P1 16:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Greenway
  144. P1 16:40
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in offensive zone
  145. P1 16:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  146. P1 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Ostlund saved by Eric Comrie
  147. P1 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Eric Comrie
  148. P1 16:01
    Josh Doan won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  149. P1 16:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 15:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Eric Comrie
  151. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Mark Scheifele
  152. P1 15:01
    Giveaway by Josh Morrissey in neutral zone
  153. P1 15:00
    Giveaway by Jason Zucker in neutral zone
  154. P1 14:54
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
  155. P1 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  156. P1 14:07
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  157. P1 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Bryson
  158. P1 13:24
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  159. P1 13:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  160. P1 13:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  161. P1 13:17
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  162. P1 13:17
    Stoppage - Offside
  163. P1 13:03
    Takeaway by Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  164. P1 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Eric Comrie
  165. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Timmins
  166. P1 12:47
    Noah Ostlund won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
  167. P1 12:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  168. P1 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Eric Comrie
  169. P1 12:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Eric Comrie
  170. P1 11:52
    SHOT
    Josh Norris shot blocked by Adam Lowry
  171. P1 11:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Eric Comrie
  172. P1 11:39
    Giveaway by Dylan Samberg in defensive zone
  173. P1 10:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nino Niederreiter saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  174. P1 09:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  175. P1 09:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Morrissey shot blocked by teammate
  176. P1 08:54
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  177. P1 08:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  178. P1 08:50
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  179. P1 08:50
    Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Misconduct
  180. P1 08:40
    SHOT
    Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Luke Schenn
  181. P1 07:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Iafallo saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  182. P1 07:05
    Giveaway by Colin Miller in defensive zone
  183. P1 06:02
    SHOT
    Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
  184. P1 05:35
    Giveaway by Bowen Byram in defensive zone
  185. P1 05:31
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
  186. P1 05:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  187. P1 05:29
    SHOT
    Dylan DeMelo shot blocked by Jason Zucker
  188. P1 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Power
  189. P1 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Eric Comrie
  190. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Eric Comrie
  191. P1 03:43
    Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  192. P1 03:43
    Stoppage - Icing
  193. P1 03:30
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
  194. P1 03:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  195. P1 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  196. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gustav Nyquist saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  197. P1 03:01
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Morgan Barron in neutral zone
  198. P1 03:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  199. P1 02:46
    Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  200. P1 02:43
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Josh Norris
    0-1
  201. P1 02:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  202. P1 01:31
    Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  203. P1 01:31
    Penalty to Dylan DeMelo 2 minutes for Misconduct
  204. P1 01:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  205. P1 01:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Eric Comrie
  206. P1 01:23
    Giveaway by Vladislav Namestnikov in offensive zone
  207. P1 01:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
  208. P1 01:05
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
  209. P1 01:05
    Stoppage - Offside
  210. P1 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Luke Schenn saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  211. P1 00:19
    Alex Iafallo credited with hit on Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  212. P1 00:00
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
  213. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Jets
STATS
Sabres
24Shots on Goal31
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
26Penalty Infraction Mins14
35Hits12
17 Shots Blocked 8
13Giveaways8
JetsWPG
SabresBUF
24Shots on Goal31
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
26Penalty Infraction Mins14
35Hits12
17 Shots Blocked 8
13Giveaways8

Jets vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jets vs. Sabres
  • Date: Monday, December 1, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Jets -104, Sabres -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jets: 51%
  • Sabres: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 51%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Jets are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jets vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.