Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
3
2
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
2 0 0 1 3
Sabres
0 1 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Canadiens
2 0 0 1 3
Sabres
0 1 1 0 2
OT1 11:06 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 10:55 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 10:42 Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
OT1 09:29 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
OT1 06:55 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
OT1 06:10 Ryan McLeod shot blocked by teammate
OT1 06:00 Shot missed by Tage Thompson
OT1 05:46 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
OT1 05:21 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
OT1 05:07 Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
OT1 04:31 Shot missed by Alex Newhook
OT1 00:46 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Alex Tuch
OT1 00:25 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:02 Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:05 Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P3 16:58 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:18 Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:53 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 12:41 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:54 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
  1. OT1 20:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 20:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 11:08
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  4. OT1 11:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  5. OT1 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  6. OT1 10:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  7. OT1 10:52
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  8. OT1 10:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  9. OT1 10:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
  10. OT1 09:29
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  11. OT1 08:26
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  12. OT1 08:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. OT1 06:55
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
  14. OT1 06:10
    SHOT
    Ryan McLeod shot blocked by teammate
  15. OT1 06:09
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  16. OT1 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  17. OT1 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  18. OT1 05:21
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  19. OT1 05:09
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  20. OT1 05:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  21. OT1 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
  22. OT1 04:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  23. OT1 02:08
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  24. OT1 01:31
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
  25. OT1 01:01
    Ryan McLeod credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  26. OT1 00:46
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Alex Tuch
  27. OT1 00:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  28. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  29. P3 19:09
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  30. P3 18:02
    SHOT
    Conor Timmins shot blocked by teammate
  31. P3 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  32. P3 16:59
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  33. P3 16:58
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  34. P3 15:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  35. P3 14:55
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  36. P3 14:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  38. P3 13:44
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  39. P3 13:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  40. P3 12:41
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  41. P3 11:57
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  42. P3 11:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  43. P3 11:37
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  44. P3 11:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  45. P3 11:08
    Alex Tuch credited with hit on Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
  46. P3 10:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  47. P3 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  48. P3 10:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  49. P3 10:01
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  50. P3 10:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  51. P3 09:44
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  52. P3 09:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  53. P3 08:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
  54. P3 08:07
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  55. P3 07:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  56. P3 07:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Phillip Danault
  57. P3 07:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  58. P3 06:27
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  59. P3 06:26
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin assisted by Owen Power and Ryan McLeod
    2-2
  60. P3 06:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  61. P3 06:13
    Mike Matheson won faceoff against Sabres in defensive zone
  62. P3 06:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  63. P3 06:06
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  64. P3 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  65. P3 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  66. P3 04:28
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  67. P3 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
  68. P3 03:38
    SHOT
    Peyton Krebs shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  69. P3 03:04
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Alex Newhook shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  70. P3 02:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
  71. P3 01:34
    Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Misconduct
  72. P3 01:34
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  73. P3 00:39
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
  74. P3 00:22
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  75. P3 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  76. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  77. P2 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  78. P2 19:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 19:23
    SHOT
    Zach Benson shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  80. P2 19:11
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  81. P2 19:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  83. P2 18:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  84. P2 18:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  85. P2 18:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  86. P2 17:33
    SHOT
    Jordan Greenway shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  87. P2 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Jakub Dobes
  88. P2 16:20
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jason Zucker in neutral zone
  89. P2 15:36
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  90. P2 15:36
    Stoppage - Offside
  91. P2 15:29
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  92. P2 14:21
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  93. P2 13:19
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  94. P2 12:31
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
  95. P2 11:46
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  96. P2 11:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  97. P2 11:41
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by teammate
  98. P2 11:33
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  99. P2 10:14
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  100. P2 10:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  101. P2 10:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  102. P2 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  103. P2 08:50
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in defensive zone
  104. P2 08:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  105. P2 08:27
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
  106. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  107. P2 07:46
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  108. P2 07:46
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  109. P2 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  110. P2 06:36
    Cole Caufield credited with hit on Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  111. P2 06:26
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  112. P2 06:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  113. P2 06:08
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in neutral zone
  114. P2 06:08
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  115. P2 04:59
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  116. P2 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  117. P2 03:54
    Kirby Dach credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
  118. P2 03:43
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  119. P2 03:30
    SHOT
    Josh Anderson shot blocked by Owen Power
  120. P2 03:28
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  121. P2 03:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  122. P2 03:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  123. P2 03:08
    Stoppage - Offside
  124. P2 02:45
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  125. P2 02:40
    Canadiens won faceoff against Zach Benson in defensive zone
  126. P2 02:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  127. P2 02:17
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  128. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bowen Byram
  129. P2 01:50
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P2 01:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Benson
  131. P2 01:40
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  132. P2 00:51
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  133. P2 00:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  134. P2 00:13
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  135. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  136. P1 19:23
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  137. P1 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  138. P1 18:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  139. P1 18:14
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  140. P1 18:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  141. P1 16:01
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  142. P1 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
  143. P1 14:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  144. P1 14:29
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  145. P1 14:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  146. P1 12:34
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  147. P1 12:34
    Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Delay of Game
  148. P1 12:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  149. P1 11:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Dahlin
  150. P1 11:45
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  151. P1 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Doan
  152. P1 11:18
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  153. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  154. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  155. P1 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  156. P1 07:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  157. P1 07:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  158. P1 06:26
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Alexandre Texier in defensive zone
  159. P1 06:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  160. P1 06:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  161. P1 04:38
    Kirby Dach credited with hit on Owen Power in offensive zone
  162. P1 04:30
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  163. P1 04:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Phillip Danault assisted by Kaiden Guhle and Alexandre Texier
    1-0
  164. P1 03:48
    Alexandre Carrier credited with hit on Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  165. P1 03:10
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  166. P1 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  167. P1 01:02
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  168. P1 01:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  169. P1 00:56
    Stoppage - Offside
  170. P1 00:34
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  171. P1 00:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  172. P1 00:18
    Ivan Demidov credited with hit on Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
25Shots on Goal39
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits21
22 Shots Blocked 12
22Giveaways16
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
25Shots on Goal39
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
28Hits21
22 Shots Blocked 12
22Giveaways16

Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens +104, Sabres 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 48%
  • Sabres: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 48%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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