Avalanche vs. Wild Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Wild NHL game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Avalanche
5
2
Grand Casino Arena
Wild
Grand Casino Arena
TEAM123T
Avalanche
0 1 4 5
Wild
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    100%
  • Wild
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Avalanche
0 1 4 5
Wild
1 0 1 2
P3 19:52 Goal scored by Brock Nelson (Empty Net)
P3 19:37 Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 19:17 Shot missed by Brock Faber
P3 17:55 Brock Faber shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
P3 16:47 Shot missed by Jack Drury
P3 16:04 Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 15:58 Brock Faber shot blocked by Devon Toews
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 13:51 Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 12:33 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Marcus Johansson
P3 12:23 Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
P3 12:02 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jesper Wallstedt
P3 10:52 Martin Necas shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
P3 10:00 Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 09:47 Shot missed by Brent Burns
P3 09:15 Goal scored by Nico Sturm assisted by Quinn Hughes and Marcus Foligno
P3 08:01 Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
P3 06:53 Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
P3 06:41 Shot missed by Brock Nelson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:52
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:52
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brock Nelson (Empty Net)
    5-2
  5. P3 19:42
    Avalanche won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
  6. P3 19:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  7. P3 19:27
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  8. P3 19:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Faber
  9. P3 19:05
    Avalanche won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  10. P3 18:46
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
  11. P3 17:55
    SHOT
    Brock Faber shot blocked by Logan O'Connor
  12. P3 17:08
    Joel Kiviranta credited with hit on Marcus Foligno in defensive zone
  13. P3 16:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Drury
  14. P3 16:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mats Zuccarello saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  15. P3 16:00
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  16. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Brock Faber shot blocked by Devon Toews
  17. P3 15:32
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:02
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  19. P3 15:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  20. P3 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  21. P3 13:54
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  22. P3 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  23. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Marcus Johansson
  24. P3 12:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
  25. P3 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  26. P3 11:32
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  27. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  28. P3 11:14
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nico Sturm in neutral zone
  29. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Quinn Hughes
  30. P3 10:23
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  31. P3 10:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  32. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Valeri Nichushkin
  33. P3 09:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brent Burns
  34. P3 09:15
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
  35. P3 09:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nico Sturm assisted by Quinn Hughes and Marcus Foligno
    2-2
  36. P3 08:25
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  37. P3 08:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  38. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vladimir Tarasenko
  39. P3 07:08
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  40. P3 07:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 06:56
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  42. P3 06:53
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
  43. P3 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  44. P3 06:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  45. P3 06:17
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  46. P3 05:46
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Boldy in neutral zone
  47. P3 05:25
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Michael McCarron
  48. P3 05:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Drury
  49. P3 05:02
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in defensive zone
  50. P3 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nico Sturm saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  51. P3 04:44
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  52. P3 04:44
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  53. P3 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
  54. P3 03:24
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
  55. P3 03:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  56. P3 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael McCarron saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  57. P3 02:25
    SHOT
    Michael McCarron shot blocked by Jack Ahcan
  58. P3 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vladimir Tarasenko saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  59. P3 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  60. P3 01:11
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in neutral zone
  61. P3 01:11
    Stoppage - Offside
  62. P3 01:07
    Giveaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
  63. P3 01:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  64. P3 00:44
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in offensive zone
  65. P3 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jared Spurgeon
  66. P3 00:00
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  67. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  68. P2 19:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Boldy
  69. P2 19:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirill Kaprizov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  70. P2 19:10
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  71. P2 19:08
    SHOT
    Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Devon Toews
  72. P2 18:53
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Michael McCarron in defensive zone
  73. P2 18:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Foligno
  74. P2 17:54
    SHOT
    Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  75. P2 17:36
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  76. P2 17:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  77. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  78. P2 16:55
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Kirill Kaprizov
  79. P2 16:53
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P2 16:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Quinn Hughes saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  81. P2 16:32
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  82. P2 16:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  83. P2 15:39
    Power play - Matt Boldy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  84. P2 15:39
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  85. P2 15:39
    Penalty to Parker Kelly 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Kirill Kaprizov)
  86. P2 14:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  87. P2 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Faber saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  88. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  89. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Boldy
  90. P2 12:23
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Danila Yurov in defensive zone
  91. P2 12:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  92. P2 10:48
    Shorthanded - Valeri Nichushkin won faceoff against Matt Boldy in defensive zone
  93. P2 09:59
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  94. P2 09:59
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  95. P2 09:52
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  96. P2 09:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jared Spurgeon
  97. P2 09:38
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  98. P2 09:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  99. P2 09:10
    SHOT
    Vladimir Tarasenko shot blocked by Jack Ahcan
  100. P2 08:19
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
  101. P2 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  102. P2 06:08
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  103. P2 06:08
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Nazem Kadri assisted by Martin Necas
    1-1
  104. P2 06:01
    Shorthanded - Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  105. P2 06:01
    Penalty to Yakov Trenin 2 minutes for Closing Hand on the Puck
  106. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Vladimir Tarasenko
  107. P2 05:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  108. P2 05:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  109. P2 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  110. P2 05:11
    SHOT
    Nicolas Roy shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
  111. P2 05:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Devon Toews saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  112. P2 05:03
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  113. P2 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  114. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  115. P2 04:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  116. P2 03:39
    Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Nico Sturm in offensive zone
  117. P2 03:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Brock Faber
  118. P2 02:42
    Shorthanded - Michael McCarron won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  119. P2 02:42
    Penalty to Zach Bogosian 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Parker Kelly)
  120. P2 01:31
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by teammate
  121. P2 01:09
    SHOT
    Kirill Kaprizov shot blocked by Brent Burns
  122. P2 00:47
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by Kirill Kaprizov
  123. P2 00:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  124. P2 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in neutral zone
  125. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  126. P1 19:51
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Michael McCarron in neutral zone
  127. P1 19:11
    Takeaway by Brett Kulak in neutral zone
  128. P1 19:00
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in defensive zone
  129. P1 16:58
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Nick Foligno in neutral zone
  130. P1 16:58
    Stoppage - High Stick
  131. P1 15:52
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
  132. P1 15:52
    Stoppage - Offside
  133. P1 15:12
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  134. P1 14:19
    Yakov Trenin credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  135. P1 14:02
    Danila Yurov won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in neutral zone
  136. P1 14:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  137. P1 13:48
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
  138. P1 13:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Hartman saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  139. P1 12:17
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  140. P1 11:46
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  141. P1 11:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  142. P1 10:55
    Jack Ahcan credited with hit on Nico Sturm in defensive zone
  143. P1 10:45
    Nico Sturm won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  144. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  145. P1 09:46
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  146. P1 09:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wild saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  147. P1 08:33
    Shorthanded - Takeaway by Devon Toews in defensive zone
  148. P1 07:30
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  149. P1 07:07
    Power play - Matt Boldy won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  150. P1 06:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  151. P1 06:36
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  152. P1 06:36
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  153. P1 06:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  154. P1 05:58
    Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Danila Yurov in offensive zone
  155. P1 05:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  156. P1 05:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  157. P1 05:15
    Avalanche won faceoff against Wild in neutral zone
  158. P1 05:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  159. P1 04:43
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  160. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Foligno saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  161. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Logan O'Connor
  162. P1 04:14
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Daemon Hunt
  163. P1 03:53
    Michael McCarron won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  164. P1 03:07
    Jack Drury credited with hit on Quinn Hughes in offensive zone
  165. P1 02:30
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Ryan Hartman
  166. P1 02:22
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Ryan Hartman in offensive zone
  167. P1 02:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Jesper Wallstedt
  168. P1 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Faber
  169. P1 00:48
    Penalty to Ross Colton 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Danila Yurov)
  170. P1 00:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  171. P1 00:34
    Stoppage - Offside
  172. P1 00:00
    Ryan Hartman won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Wild
34Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
32Hits29
12 Shots Blocked 22
13Giveaways14
AvalancheCOL
WildMIN
34Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins8
32Hits29
12 Shots Blocked 22
13Giveaways14

Avalanche vs. Wild: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Wild
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Grand Casino Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche 58¢, Wild 42¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 56%
  • Wild: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 56%, while the Wild have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Wild in the NHL game at Grand Casino Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Wild predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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