Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Canadiens vs. Sabres NHL game on May 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Canadiens
5
1
KeyBank Center
Sabres
KeyBank Center
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 2 5
Sabres
0 1 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Canadiens
    100%
  • Sabres
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Canadiens
2 1 2 5
Sabres
0 1 0 1
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P3 17:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 17:13 Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 15:59 Goal scored by Nick Suzuki assisted by Josh Anderson (Empty Net)
P3 13:49 Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
P3 13:49 Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 13:15 Shorthanded - Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:31 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 11:06 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 10:24 Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:45 Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Owen Power
P3 09:14 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
P3 09:05 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 06:52 Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Alex Lyon
P3 06:37 Shot missed by Alex Tuch
P3 06:09 Shot missed by Owen Power
P3 06:05 Shot missed by Josh Norris
P3 04:40 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:34 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
P3 04:01 Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  3. P3 18:34
    Canadiens won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  4. P3 17:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  5. P3 17:18
    Power play - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:13
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  7. P3 15:59
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nick Suzuki assisted by Josh Anderson (Empty Net)
    5-1
  9. P3 15:27
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  10. P3 15:27
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  11. P3 13:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
  12. P3 13:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  13. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Owen Power shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  14. P3 11:31
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  15. P3 11:14
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  16. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  17. P3 11:04
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  18. P3 11:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  19. P3 10:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
  20. P3 09:45
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  21. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Owen Power
  22. P3 09:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
  23. P3 09:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  24. P3 06:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Alex Lyon
  25. P3 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Tuch
  26. P3 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Power
  27. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Norris
  28. P3 05:22
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  29. P3 05:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  30. P3 04:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
  31. P3 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
  32. P3 04:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 04:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  34. P3 04:00
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 03:54
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  36. P3 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  37. P3 03:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  38. P3 03:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 02:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  40. P3 01:56
    Giveaway by Jake Evans in neutral zone
  41. P3 01:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  42. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  43. P3 01:22
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  44. P3 01:22
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  45. P3 01:08
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:22
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  49. P2 19:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Zach Benson assisted by Conor Timmins and Josh Doan
    3-1
  50. P2 19:17
    SHOT
    Josh Doan shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  51. P2 19:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  52. P2 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  53. P2 17:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  54. P2 17:04
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  55. P2 17:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P2 15:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  57. P2 15:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Josh Norris shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  58. P2 14:38
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  59. P2 14:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Alex Lyon
  60. P2 14:11
    Takeaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  61. P2 13:55
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  62. P2 13:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Alex Lyon
  63. P2 13:47
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  64. P2 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
  65. P2 13:14
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  66. P2 12:39
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  67. P2 12:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  68. P2 12:12
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Tyson Kozak
  69. P2 11:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Alex Lyon
  70. P2 11:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
  71. P2 10:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  72. P2 10:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  73. P2 09:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  74. P2 09:41
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  75. P2 09:36
    Penalty to Mattias Samuelsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nick Suzuki)
  76. P2 08:25
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  78. P2 06:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  79. P2 05:33
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  80. P2 05:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Power saved by Jakub Dobes
  81. P2 04:47
    Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in neutral zone
  82. P2 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  83. P2 04:06
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in defensive zone
  84. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Josh Norris
  85. P2 03:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Alex Lyon
  86. P2 02:43
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  87. P2 02:43
    Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Hooking
  88. P2 01:55
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  89. P2 01:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  90. P2 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  91. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 19:57
    Power play - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
  94. P1 19:57
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
  95. P1 19:50
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  96. P1 18:51
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
  97. P1 18:45
    SHOT
    Logan Stanley shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  98. P1 18:20
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  99. P1 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Josh Anderson
  100. P1 17:40
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  101. P1 17:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  102. P1 17:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jakub Dobes
  103. P1 16:49
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in neutral zone
  104. P1 16:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  105. P1 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  106. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Alex Lyon
  107. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Alex Lyon
  108. P1 13:02
    Canadiens won faceoff against Sabres in offensive zone
  109. P1 13:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
  110. P1 12:17
    Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  111. P1 12:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Alex Lyon
  112. P1 11:47
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  113. P1 11:47
    Penalty to Rasmus Dahlin 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
  114. P1 11:25
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  115. P1 09:58
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Jack Quinn
  116. P1 09:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  117. P1 09:26
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  118. P1 09:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  119. P1 08:45
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jason Zucker in defensive zone
  120. P1 08:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  121. P1 08:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  122. P1 08:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Zucker
  123. P1 08:26
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  124. P1 08:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  125. P1 08:04
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Alex Lyon
  126. P1 07:34
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  127. P1 06:39
    Giveaway by Kirby Dach in offensive zone
  128. P1 06:37
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  129. P1 06:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Alex Lyon
  130. P1 05:41
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  131. P1 05:26
    SHOT
    Bowen Byram shot blocked by teammate
  132. P1 04:27
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
  133. P1 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  134. P1 04:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P1 04:19
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
  136. P1 04:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  137. P1 03:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Alex Lyon
  138. P1 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  139. P1 03:16
    Takeaway by Bowen Byram in neutral zone
  140. P1 01:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Jakub Dobes
  141. P1 01:36
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Newhook assisted by Kaiden Guhle and Lane Hutson
    1-0
  142. P1 00:30
    Mattias Samuelsson credited with hit on Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  143. P1 00:25
    Zach Benson credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
  144. P1 00:03
    Zach Benson credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in neutral zone
  145. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Canadiens
STATS
Sabres
28Shots on Goal29
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
22Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits44
18 Shots Blocked 11
11Giveaways13
CanadiensMTL
SabresBUF
28Shots on Goal29
57% Faceoff Win % 43%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/0
22Penalty Infraction Mins12
18Hits44
18 Shots Blocked 11
11Giveaways13

Canadiens vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Canadiens vs. Sabres
  • Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Canadiens 46¢, Sabres 55¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Canadiens: 45%
  • Sabres: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 45%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Canadiens vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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