Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
3
2
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 1 2 3
Canadiens
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Canadiens
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 1 2 3
Canadiens
0 2 0 2
P3 19:44 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 19:38 Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
P3 19:12 Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P3 19:03 Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 18:56 Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 15:03 Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and J.J. Moser
P3 13:45 Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 10:47 Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 09:23 Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 09:11 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 08:55 Shot missed by Max Crozier
P3 07:23 Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P3 07:02 Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P3 06:55 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 05:11 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 03:20 Dominic James shot blocked by Jake Evans
P3 01:39 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
P2 18:02 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
P2 17:42 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:44
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  3. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  4. P3 19:32
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  5. P3 19:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  6. P3 19:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  7. P3 18:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  8. P3 18:37
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  9. P3 18:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  10. P3 17:53
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  11. P3 17:44
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  12. P3 17:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  13. P3 17:27
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  14. P3 17:27
    Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
  15. P3 15:18
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  16. P3 15:07
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  17. P3 15:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and J.J. Moser
    3-2
  18. P3 14:11
    Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  19. P3 13:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  20. P3 12:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  21. P3 11:33
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  22. P3 10:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  23. P3 10:44
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  24. P3 09:23
    Giveaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
  25. P3 09:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Corey Perry
  26. P3 09:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  27. P3 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  28. P3 07:55
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  29. P3 07:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  30. P3 07:02
    SHOT
    Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  31. P3 06:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  32. P3 05:11
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  33. P3 04:49
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  34. P3 04:49
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 03:20
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Jake Evans
  36. P3 01:47
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  37. P3 01:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  38. P3 01:40
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  39. P3 01:39
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel
    2-2
  40. P3 00:51
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  41. P3 00:40
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  42. P3 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  43. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  44. P2 19:06
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  45. P2 18:33
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  46. P2 18:32
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  47. P2 18:05
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  48. P2 18:02
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by teammate
  49. P2 17:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  50. P2 16:30
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  51. P2 16:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  52. P2 14:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  53. P2 14:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  54. P2 13:58
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  55. P2 13:58
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Misconduct
  56. P2 13:48
    Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 2 minutes for Misconduct
  57. P2 13:48
    Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Misconduct
  58. P2 13:48
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  59. P2 13:38
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Kirby Dach in offensive zone
  60. P2 13:29
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  61. P2 13:29
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki and Lane Hutson
    0-2
  62. P2 13:18
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  63. P2 13:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  64. P2 13:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
  65. P2 12:24
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  66. P2 12:24
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  67. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
  68. P2 11:37
    Power play - Jake Guentzel credited with hit on Mike Matheson in offensive zone
  69. P2 11:33
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  70. P2 11:33
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  71. P2 10:24
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  72. P2 10:24
    Penalty to Alex Newhook 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
  73. P2 10:06
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  74. P2 09:43
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  75. P2 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  76. P2 08:00
    Cole Caufield credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  77. P2 07:21
    Takeaway by Cole Caufield in defensive zone
  78. P2 07:08
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  79. P2 07:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  80. P2 06:36
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  81. P2 05:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jakub Dobes
  82. P2 04:27
    Gage Goncalves credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  83. P2 04:21
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
  84. P2 04:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 04:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  86. P2 03:04
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  87. P2 00:41
    Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Misconduct (Served by Josh Anderson)
  88. P2 00:41
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  89. P2 00:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Jakub Dobes
  90. P2 00:14
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  91. P2 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 19:49
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Yanni Gourde
  94. P1 19:36
    Takeaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
  95. P1 18:46
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  96. P1 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  97. P1 17:07
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  98. P1 16:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  99. P1 16:42
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  100. P1 15:10
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  101. P1 15:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  102. P1 15:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  103. P1 13:50
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  104. P1 13:50
    Stoppage - Offside
  105. P1 13:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Point
  106. P1 12:54
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  107. P1 12:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  108. P1 12:32
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  109. P1 12:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 12:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  111. P1 12:16
    Stoppage - Offside
  112. P1 12:01
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  113. P1 11:12
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  114. P1 11:08
    Power play - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  115. P1 11:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  116. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  117. P1 10:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  118. P1 10:06
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  119. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  120. P1 09:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  121. P1 09:10
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  122. P1 09:10
    Penalty to Yanni Gourde 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
  123. P1 08:39
    Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  124. P1 08:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  125. P1 08:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  126. P1 07:22
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  127. P1 06:40
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  128. P1 06:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  129. P1 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  130. P1 05:31
    Giveaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
  131. P1 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  132. P1 04:32
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  133. P1 03:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  134. P1 02:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Jakub Dobes
  135. P1 02:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  136. P1 02:04
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  137. P1 01:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lightning
  138. P1 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  139. P1 00:15
    Jake Evans credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  140. P1 00:10
    Jake Evans credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
20Shots on Goal18
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins18
28Hits50
14 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways4
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
20Shots on Goal18
35% Faceoff Win % 65%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins18
28Hits50
14 Shots Blocked 13
15Giveaways4

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): Not Available
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning 53¢, Canadiens 46¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 51%
  • Canadiens: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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