Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
2
3
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 0 0 2
Canadiens
1 1 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Canadiens
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 0 0 2
Canadiens
1 1 0 1 3
OT1 02:08 Goal scored by Lane Hutson
OT1 00:31 Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
P3 19:58 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:00 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P3 17:54 J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:55 Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 15:00 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 14:32 Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:15 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:41 Shot missed by Canadiens
P3 09:21 Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 07:57 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:04 Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 05:35 Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
P3 05:13 Shot missed by Dominic James
P3 04:49 Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:14 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 03:23 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 03:05 Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
P3 01:52 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
  1. OT1 20:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 02:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Lane Hutson
    2-3
  3. OT1 00:31
    SHOT
    Jake Evans shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  4. OT1 00:19
    Arber Xhekaj credited with hit on J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  5. OT1 00:00
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  6. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  7. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  8. P3 18:00
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  9. P3 17:54
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
  10. P3 16:58
    Kirby Dach credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  11. P3 16:34
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
  12. P3 16:08
    Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
  13. P3 16:02
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  14. P3 16:02
    Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Roughing
  15. P3 16:02
    Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Roughing
  16. P3 15:55
    SHOT
    Scott Sabourin shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  17. P3 15:26
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  18. P3 15:00
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Dominic James
  19. P3 14:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Jakub Dobes
  20. P3 14:24
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  21. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  22. P3 12:10
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  23. P3 12:10
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  24. P3 11:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Canadiens
  25. P3 10:09
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  27. P3 08:50
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  28. P3 08:50
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  29. P3 07:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Jakub Dobes
  30. P3 07:05
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  31. P3 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 06:48
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  33. P3 05:35
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  34. P3 05:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  35. P3 04:53
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  36. P3 04:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  37. P3 04:14
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  38. P3 03:47
    Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  39. P3 03:23
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  40. P3 03:12
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  41. P3 03:05
    SHOT
    Dominic James shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  42. P3 02:57
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in offensive zone
  43. P3 02:32
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  44. P3 02:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  45. P3 02:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  46. P3 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 01:22
    Power play - Giveaway by Mike Matheson in neutral zone
  48. P3 00:24
    Power play - Giveaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
  49. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  50. P2 19:58
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  51. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 19:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  53. P2 19:29
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  54. P2 19:08
    SHOT
    Josh Anderson shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  55. P2 18:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 17:22
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  57. P2 17:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P2 16:14
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  59. P2 16:14
    Penalty to Emil Lilleberg 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Kirby Dach)
  60. P2 15:33
    Shorthanded - Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Cole Caufield in defensive zone
  61. P2 14:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  62. P2 14:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  63. P2 14:05
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  64. P2 13:19
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  65. P2 12:43
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  66. P2 12:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  67. P2 11:33
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  68. P2 11:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  69. P2 09:59
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  70. P2 09:59
    Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Ryan McDonagh)
  71. P2 09:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  72. P2 08:39
    Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  73. P2 08:18
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  74. P2 08:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  75. P2 07:41
    Lightning won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
  76. P2 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jayden Struble saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  77. P2 06:44
    Takeaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  78. P2 06:13
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  79. P2 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  80. P2 04:47
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  81. P2 04:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Hagel
    2-1
  82. P2 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  83. P2 03:29
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  84. P2 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Jakub Dobes
  85. P2 02:58
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  86. P2 02:31
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  87. P2 02:19
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  88. P2 02:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  89. P2 01:51
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
  90. P2 01:51
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  91. P2 01:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  92. P2 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  93. P2 00:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Jakub Dobes
  94. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  95. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  96. P1 19:45
    Stoppage - Offside
  97. P1 19:11
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  98. P1 19:04
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  99. P1 19:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  100. P1 19:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Scott Sabourin
  101. P1 17:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kirby Dach
  102. P1 17:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
  103. P1 16:57
    SHOT
    Jayden Struble shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  104. P1 16:24
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  105. P1 15:31
    SHOT
    Lightning shot blocked by Zemgus Girgensons
  106. P1 14:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  107. P1 14:17
    Shorthanded - Brayden Point won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  108. P1 14:17
    Stoppage - Offside
  109. P1 13:03
    Power play - Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  110. P1 12:23
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  111. P1 12:23
    Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Alexandre Carrier)
  112. P1 11:38
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  113. P1 11:38
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P1 10:48
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  115. P1 10:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
  116. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dominic James
  117. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Jakub Dobes
  118. P1 08:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  119. P1 08:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  120. P1 08:12
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  121. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zachary Bolduc
  122. P1 08:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  123. P1 07:42
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
    1-1
  124. P1 07:32
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  125. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Lane Hutson
  126. P1 06:13
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  127. P1 06:06
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  128. P1 05:29
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  129. P1 04:53
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  130. P1 03:40
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  131. P1 03:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  132. P1 02:26
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Kirby Dach in defensive zone
  133. P1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Jakub Dobes
  134. P1 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  135. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Phillip Danault shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  136. P1 00:57
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Corey Perry
  137. P1 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
17Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins16
31Hits36
14 Shots Blocked 19
9Giveaways17
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
17Shots on Goal29
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
5/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins16
31Hits36
14 Shots Blocked 19
9Giveaways17

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning 51¢, Canadiens 48¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 51%
  • Canadiens: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 51%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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