Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
1
2
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Canadiens
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Canadiens
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Canadiens
0 1 1 2
P3 19:58 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 19:39 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:55 Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 18:09 Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Gage Goncalves
P3 18:08 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:00 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 15:52 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:38 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:46 Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 10:13 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 10:01 Shot on goal by Adam Engstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:23 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:50 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 08:35 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Jayden Struble
P3 07:43 Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 02:49 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 00:47 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 00:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  3. P3 19:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  4. P3 19:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  5. P3 19:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  6. P3 18:56
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  7. P3 18:55
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
    1-2
  8. P3 18:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Gage Goncalves
    1-1
  9. P3 18:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  10. P3 17:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  11. P3 16:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  12. P3 16:06
    Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  13. P3 16:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  14. P3 15:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  15. P3 15:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
  16. P3 14:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
  17. P3 14:22
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  18. P3 14:22
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  19. P3 14:22
    Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for Misconduct
  20. P3 11:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
  21. P3 11:02
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  22. P3 11:02
    Stoppage - Offside
  23. P3 10:13
    SHOT
    Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Josh Anderson
  24. P3 10:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Engstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  25. P3 09:25
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  26. P3 09:23
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
  27. P3 08:50
    SHOT
    Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jayden Struble
  28. P3 08:43
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  29. P3 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
  30. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jayden Struble
  31. P3 07:43
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  32. P3 02:50
    Power play - Noah Dobson credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
  33. P3 02:49
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Corey Perry
  34. P3 01:51
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  35. P3 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  36. P3 00:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  37. P3 00:00
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  38. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  39. P2 19:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 19:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 19:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Alex Newhook shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  42. P2 18:53
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  43. P2 18:29
    Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
  44. P2 17:34
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  45. P2 17:34
    Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
  46. P2 17:34
    Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Misconduct
  47. P2 16:35
    Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  48. P2 16:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  49. P2 16:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
  50. P2 15:00
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  51. P2 15:00
    Penalty to Declan Carlile 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
  52. P2 15:00
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
  53. P2 15:00
    Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Instigator
  54. P2 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  55. P2 14:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  56. P2 13:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  57. P2 12:20
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  58. P2 12:20
    Penalty to Nick Paul 10 minutes for Misconduct
  59. P2 12:20
    Penalty to Jayden Struble 2 minutes for Misconduct
  60. P2 12:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Jakub Dobes
  61. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
  62. P2 10:46
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  63. P2 10:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  64. P2 10:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  65. P2 09:49
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
  66. P2 08:26
    Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  67. P2 08:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  68. P2 07:11
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  69. P2 07:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  70. P2 07:04
    Erik Cernak won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  71. P2 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jakub Dobes
  72. P2 06:29
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki and Juraj Slafkovský
    0-1
  73. P2 06:17
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  74. P2 06:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jakub Dobes
  75. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jakob Pelletier saved by Jakub Dobes
  76. P2 04:03
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  77. P2 03:33
    Penalty to Joseph Veleno 2 minutes for Misconduct
  78. P2 03:33
    Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Misconduct
  79. P2 02:46
    SHOT
    Adam Engstrom shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  80. P2 02:34
    SHOT
    Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jakob Pelletier
  81. P2 00:39
    SHOT
    Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
  82. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  83. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  84. P1 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  85. P1 18:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  86. P1 18:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  87. P1 17:40
    Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  88. P1 17:40
    Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
  89. P1 17:36
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  90. P1 16:49
    Stoppage - Offside
  91. P1 16:34
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  92. P1 16:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mike Matheson
  93. P1 16:28
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  94. P1 16:03
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  95. P1 16:03
    Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for High Sticking
  96. P1 15:25
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
  97. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
  98. P1 15:06
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Phillip Danault shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
  99. P1 13:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
  100. P1 13:11
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  101. P1 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Corey Perry
  102. P1 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  103. P1 11:52
    Takeaway by Ivan Demidov in neutral zone
  104. P1 11:25
    Nikita Kucherov won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  105. P1 11:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  106. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  107. P1 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  108. P1 09:17
    Giveaway by Josh Anderson in offensive zone
  109. P1 08:28
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Nick Paul
  110. P1 08:26
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  111. P1 08:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  112. P1 07:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  113. P1 06:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  114. P1 06:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  115. P1 06:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  116. P1 06:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  117. P1 03:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  118. P1 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  119. P1 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  120. P1 02:29
    Giveaway by Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
  121. P1 00:14
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  122. P1 00:09
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  123. P1 00:09
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  124. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
18Shots on Goal21
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/0
71Penalty Infraction Mins55
29Hits34
13 Shots Blocked 9
19Giveaways16
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
18Shots on Goal21
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/0
71Penalty Infraction Mins55
29Hits34
13 Shots Blocked 9
19Giveaways16

Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning 51¢, Canadiens 48¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 52%
  • Canadiens: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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