Flames vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Avalanche NHL game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Flames
1
3
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 1 1
Avalanche
1 1 1 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flames
    0%
  • Avalanche
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 1 1
Avalanche
1 1 1 3
P3 18:52 Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Morgan Frost
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Tyson Gross
P3 17:08 Goal scored by Tyson Gross assisted by Matvei Gridin and Matt Coronato (Empty Net)
P3 17:03 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 16:12 Power play - Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 14:16 Power play - Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
P3 13:24 Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
P3 13:20 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Adam Klapka
P3 13:14 Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 12:43 Jack Drury shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
P3 11:31 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 11:00 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 10:52 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 10:29 Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 09:59 Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
P3 07:44 Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:21 Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:28 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 04:56 Shot missed by Sam Malinski
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:05
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:52
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  4. P3 18:31
    Avalanche challenge (Offside), call reversed
  5. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tyson Gross
  6. P3 17:26
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  7. P3 17:08
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:08
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tyson Gross assisted by Matvei Gridin and Matt Coronato (Empty Net)
    1-2
  9. P3 17:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  10. P3 16:50
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  11. P3 16:14
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Matt Coronato in defensive zone
  12. P3 16:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  13. P3 16:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  14. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Matvei Gridin shot blocked by Valeri Nichushkin
  15. P3 14:13
    Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  16. P3 14:13
    Penalty to Joel Kiviranta 2 minutes for High Sticking
  17. P3 14:08
    Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in defensive zone
  18. P3 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  19. P3 13:20
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Adam Klapka
  20. P3 13:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artturi Lehkonen saved by Dustin Wolf
  21. P3 12:52
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  22. P3 12:43
    SHOT
    Jack Drury shot blocked by Brayden Pachal
  23. P3 12:05
    Takeaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  25. P3 11:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  26. P3 10:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  27. P3 10:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  28. P3 10:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  29. P3 10:15
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  30. P3 10:15
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  31. P3 09:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Beecher saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  32. P3 09:13
    Takeaway by Logan O'Connor in defensive zone
  33. P3 08:36
    Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Brent Burns in defensive zone
  34. P3 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  35. P3 07:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nicolas Roy saved by Dustin Wolf
  36. P3 07:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
  37. P3 05:56
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  38. P3 05:56
    Penalty to Matt Coronato 2 minutes for Misconduct
  39. P3 05:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  40. P3 04:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  41. P3 03:49
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
  42. P3 03:43
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by John Beecher
  43. P3 03:17
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  44. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
  45. P3 02:56
    Takeaway by Devon Toews in neutral zone
  46. P3 02:45
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  47. P3 02:39
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  48. P3 02:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  49. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Dustin Wolf
  50. P3 02:10
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  51. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Klapka saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  52. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aydar Suniev saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  53. P3 00:25
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Dustin Wolf
  56. P2 19:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
  57. P2 19:30
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  58. P2 19:21
    SHOT
    Parker Kelly shot blocked by Olli Maatta
  59. P2 18:53
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  60. P2 18:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  61. P2 18:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  62. P2 18:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  63. P2 18:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor Zary saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  65. P2 17:46
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  66. P2 17:35
    John Beecher won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
  67. P2 17:34
    Brayden Pachal credited with hit on Joel Kiviranta in defensive zone
  68. P2 16:51
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Brock Nelson
  69. P2 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Valeri Nichushkin saved by Dustin Wolf
  70. P2 16:34
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  71. P2 16:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  72. P2 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  73. P2 15:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  74. P2 15:01
    John Beecher won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  75. P2 14:10
    Giveaway by Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  76. P2 13:39
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  77. P2 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  78. P2 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  79. P2 12:05
    Giveaway by Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  80. P2 11:20
    Artturi Lehkonen credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
  81. P2 10:44
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  82. P2 10:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabriel Landeskog saved by Dustin Wolf
  83. P2 09:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Dustin Wolf
  84. P2 09:41
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by teammate
  85. P2 08:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Logan O'Connor saved by Dustin Wolf
  86. P2 08:11
    Hunter Brzustewicz credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  87. P2 07:01
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
  88. P2 06:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Dustin Wolf
  89. P2 06:30
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  90. P2 06:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zayne Parekh saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  91. P2 06:14
    SHOT
    Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Martin Necas
  92. P2 05:16
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by John Beecher
  93. P2 04:47
    Flames won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  94. P2 04:44
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Dustin Wolf
  95. P2 04:33
    Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jack Drury in offensive zone
  96. P2 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  97. P2 03:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hunter Brzustewicz saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  98. P2 02:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Dustin Wolf
  99. P2 02:03
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
  100. P2 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Dustin Wolf
  101. P2 01:53
    John Beecher won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  102. P2 01:51
    Ross Colton won faceoff against John Beecher in neutral zone
  103. P2 01:51
    Stoppage - Offside
  104. P2 01:22
    Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  105. P2 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Dustin Wolf
  106. P2 00:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  107. P2 00:22
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  108. P2 00:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P2 00:08
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  110. P2 00:08
    Stoppage - Icing
  111. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  112. P1 19:27
    Yan Kuznetsov credited with hit on Artturi Lehkonen in defensive zone
  113. P1 18:44
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Gabriel Landeskog assisted by Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas
    0-1
  114. P1 18:37
    Penalty to John Beecher 2 minutes for Hooking
  115. P1 18:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Beecher
  116. P1 17:23
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  117. P1 17:19
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  118. P1 16:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  119. P1 15:47
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  120. P1 15:25
    Adam Klapka credited with hit on Nick Blankenburg in defensive zone
  121. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Adam Klapka
  122. P1 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  123. P1 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olli Maatta
  124. P1 13:03
    John Beecher won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  125. P1 12:44
    Jack Drury won faceoff against John Beecher in defensive zone
  126. P1 12:44
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  127. P1 12:14
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  128. P1 11:56
    SHOT
    Aydar Suniev shot blocked by Ross Colton
  129. P1 11:40
    SHOT
    Ross Colton shot blocked by teammate
  130. P1 11:01
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
  131. P1 10:52
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Tyson Gross
  132. P1 10:10
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  133. P1 10:10
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  134. P1 09:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  135. P1 08:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  136. P1 08:27
    Zayne Parekh won faceoff against Valeri Nichushkin in offensive zone
  137. P1 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Pachal saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  138. P1 08:07
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  139. P1 08:07
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 06:51
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  141. P1 06:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  142. P1 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zach Whitecloud
  143. P1 05:43
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
  144. P1 05:16
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Brett Kulak
  145. P1 04:30
    SHOT
    Nick Blankenburg shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
  146. P1 04:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  147. P1 04:12
    SHOT
    Flames shot blocked by teammate
  148. P1 03:34
    Matt Coronato won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  149. P1 03:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 03:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Dustin Wolf
  151. P1 02:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Parker Kelly
  152. P1 01:49
    SHOT
    Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Nick Blankenburg
  153. P1 01:44
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against John Beecher in defensive zone
  154. P1 01:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brock Nelson
  155. P1 01:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gabriel Landeskog
  156. P1 00:17
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  157. P1 00:00
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  158. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Flames
STATS
Avalanche
29Shots on Goal41
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
19 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways12
FlamesCGY
AvalancheCOL
29Shots on Goal41
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
19Hits11
19 Shots Blocked 12
14Giveaways12

Flames vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Avalanche
  • Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames 26¢, Avalanche 74¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 29%
  • Avalanche: 71%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 29%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 71%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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