Penguins vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Islanders NHL game on March 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Penguins
8
3
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 5 3 8
Islanders
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    100%
  • Islanders
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 5 3 8
Islanders
0 3 0 3
P3 19:38 Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:37 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by David Rittich
P3 16:45 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 15:30 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by David Rittich
P3 10:56 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:50 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
P3 08:49 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 07:52 Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:52 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 06:02 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 05:50 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Samuel Girard
P3 04:37 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 03:39 Adam Pelech shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 02:43 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 00:39 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 00:30 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P2 19:57 Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 18:20 Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Emil Heineman
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Arturs Silovs
  3. P3 19:36
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  4. P3 18:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  5. P3 18:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by David Rittich
  6. P3 16:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
  7. P3 16:16
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
  9. P3 15:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 15:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  11. P3 14:28
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  12. P3 13:40
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  13. P3 13:35
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  14. P3 13:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by David Rittich
  15. P3 12:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  16. P3 11:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  17. P3 10:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
  18. P3 10:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  19. P3 10:30
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  20. P3 10:20
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  21. P3 10:20
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  22. P3 09:59
    Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
  23. P3 09:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  24. P3 09:50
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
  25. P3 08:49
    SHOT
    Thomas Novak shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  26. P3 08:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  27. P3 07:54
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  28. P3 07:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
  29. P3 06:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  30. P3 06:44
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  31. P3 06:06
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
  32. P3 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  33. P3 05:50
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Samuel Girard
  34. P3 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  35. P3 04:35
    Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  36. P3 04:35
    Penalty to Scott Mayfield 5 minutes for Fighting
  37. P3 03:39
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  38. P3 02:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
  39. P3 01:58
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  40. P3 01:58
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  41. P3 00:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noel Acciari
  42. P3 00:32
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  43. P3 00:30
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noel Acciari
  44. P3 00:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  46. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arturs Silovs
  47. P2 18:37
    Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  48. P2 18:20
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  49. P2 18:15
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  50. P2 18:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Ilya Sorokin
  51. P2 17:40
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  52. P2 17:36
    SHOT
    Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Thomas Novak
  53. P2 17:18
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  54. P2 17:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ilya Sorokin
  55. P2 16:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Ilya Sorokin
  56. P2 16:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Ilya Sorokin
  57. P2 15:37
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  58. P2 14:35
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:17
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  60. P2 14:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  61. P2 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  62. P2 13:29
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  63. P2 13:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  64. P2 12:40
    SHOT
    Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  65. P2 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  66. P2 11:50
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Anders Lee
  67. P2 11:01
    Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
  68. P2 11:01
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Bryan Rust and Parker Wotherspoon
    2-3
  69. P2 09:41
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  70. P2 09:37
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  71. P2 09:17
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  72. P2 09:17
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brayden Schenn assisted by Mathew Barzal and Calum Ritchie
    1-3
  73. P2 08:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  74. P2 08:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  75. P2 07:57
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  76. P2 07:56
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  77. P2 06:41
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
  78. P2 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
  79. P2 06:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  80. P2 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  81. P2 04:47
    Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  82. P2 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Arturs Silovs
  83. P2 04:11
    Stoppage - Icing
  84. P2 03:48
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Kris Letang
  85. P2 02:56
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  86. P2 02:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
  87. P2 02:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Ilya Sorokin
  88. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Avery Hayes
  89. P2 01:55
    SHOT
    Avery Hayes shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  90. P2 01:27
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  91. P2 01:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Anders Lee
  92. P2 00:51
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  93. P2 00:51
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P2 00:45
    Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
  95. P2 00:05
    Bryan Rust won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  96. P2 00:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  99. P1 19:03
    Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  100. P1 19:03
    Penalty to Jean-Gabriel Pageau 2 minutes for Misconduct
  101. P1 18:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  102. P1 17:50
    Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  103. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P1 16:45
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  105. P1 16:45
    Penalty to Mathew Barzal 2 minutes for Misconduct
  106. P1 16:45
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  107. P1 15:39
    SHOT
    Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
  108. P1 15:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  109. P1 15:00
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  110. P1 14:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  111. P1 14:07
    Giveaway by Carson Soucy in defensive zone
  112. P1 13:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Sorokin
  113. P1 13:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bryan Rust
  114. P1 12:30
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  115. P1 12:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Arturs Silovs
  116. P1 10:53
    Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
  117. P1 09:55
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  118. P1 09:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  119. P1 09:39
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  120. P1 09:30
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
  121. P1 09:30
    Stoppage - Offside
  122. P1 09:21
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
  123. P1 09:11
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  124. P1 08:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  125. P1 08:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 08:14
    SHOT
    Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Samuel Girard
  127. P1 08:04
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  128. P1 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
  129. P1 06:48
    Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  130. P1 06:42
    Takeaway by Marc Gatcomb in neutral zone
  131. P1 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
  132. P1 05:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Dewar
  133. P1 04:33
    Giveaway by Ilya Sorokin in defensive zone
  134. P1 03:35
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
  135. P1 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Arturs Silovs
  136. P1 03:26
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  137. P1 03:16
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  138. P1 03:09
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
  139. P1 02:06
    SHOT
    Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Connor Clifton
  140. P1 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
  141. P1 01:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
  142. P1 00:52
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  143. P1 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  144. P1 00:06
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  145. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Islanders
31Shots on Goal23
32% Faceoff Win % 68%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
16Hits16
17 Shots Blocked 14
16Giveaways15
PenguinsPIT
IslandersNYI
31Shots on Goal23
32% Faceoff Win % 68%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/1
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
16Hits16
17 Shots Blocked 14
16Giveaways15

Penguins vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Islanders
  • Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins 46¢, Islanders 55¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 47%
  • Islanders: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 47%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.