Avalanche vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Avalanche vs. Capitals NHL game on March 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
3
2
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
0 0 2 1 3
Capitals
1 0 1 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Avalanche
    100%
  • Capitals
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Avalanche
0 0 2 1 3
Capitals
1 0 1 0 2
OT1 01:22 Goal scored by Brock Nelson
OT1 00:53 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
OT1 00:24 Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 19:08 Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:17 Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 18:11 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 16:54 Cale Makar shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 16:40 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:16 Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 12:08 Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
P3 11:22 Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
P3 11:04 Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:59 Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P3 07:40 Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 07:16 Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:52 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Logan Thompson
P3 05:53 Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:12 Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 02:11 Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 02:07 Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  3. OT1 01:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brock Nelson
    3-2
  4. OT1 00:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
  5. OT1 00:24
    SHOT
    Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  6. OT1 00:00
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  7. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  8. P3 19:59
    Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  9. P3 19:18
    Giveaway by Matt Roy in defensive zone
  10. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brent Burns saved by Logan Thompson
  11. P3 18:17
    SHOT
    Sam Malinski shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  12. P3 18:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  13. P3 17:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 16:54
    SHOT
    Cale Makar shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  15. P3 16:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 16:41
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  17. P3 16:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 16:06
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in neutral zone
  19. P3 15:04
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in offensive zone
  20. P3 14:52
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
  21. P3 14:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  22. P3 14:24
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  23. P3 14:24
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  24. P3 14:17
    Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  25. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  26. P3 13:57
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  27. P3 13:18
    Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  28. P3 12:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nazem Kadri
  29. P3 11:45
    Avalanche won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  30. P3 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  31. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
  32. P3 10:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  33. P3 10:25
    Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  34. P3 10:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  35. P3 09:01
    Power play - Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  36. P3 07:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  37. P3 07:34
    Power play - Tom Wilson won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  38. P3 07:34
    Penalty to Josh Manson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Aliaksei Protas)
  39. P3 07:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  40. P3 06:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Logan Thompson
  41. P3 06:12
    Giveaway by Sam Malinski in defensive zone
  42. P3 06:03
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  43. P3 05:53
    SHOT
    Brent Burns shot blocked by teammate
  44. P3 05:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  45. P3 04:04
    Giveaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
  46. P3 03:37
    Takeaway by Parker Kelly in offensive zone
  47. P3 02:50
    Takeaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
  48. P3 02:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  49. P3 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  50. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  51. P3 01:05
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  52. P3 01:05
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Gabriel Landeskog assisted by Martin Necas
    1-1
  53. P3 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Drury in neutral zone
  54. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  55. P2 19:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  56. P2 18:40
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
  57. P2 17:58
    Power play - Justin Sourdif credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  58. P2 17:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Parker Kelly
  59. P2 17:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Dylan Strome shot blocked by teammate
  60. P2 17:11
    Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in defensive zone
  61. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois shot blocked by teammate
  62. P2 16:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Capitals
  63. P2 16:17
    Penalty to Brent Burns 2 minutes for Misconduct
  64. P2 15:49
    Giveaway by Valeri Nichushkin in offensive zone
  65. P2 15:20
    SHOT
    Avalanche shot blocked by teammate
  66. P2 15:09
    Stoppage - Offside
  67. P2 14:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 13:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Logan Thompson
  69. P2 13:21
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  70. P2 12:42
    SHOT
    Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by teammate
  71. P2 12:24
    SHOT
    Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  72. P2 11:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  73. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  74. P2 10:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  75. P2 09:23
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  76. P2 08:41
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  77. P2 08:41
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  78. P2 08:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P2 08:11
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  80. P2 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  81. P2 07:44
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  82. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tom Wilson saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  83. P2 04:57
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  84. P2 04:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 04:55
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  86. P2 04:29
    Avalanche won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  87. P2 04:05
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  88. P2 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  89. P2 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cale Makar
  90. P2 03:44
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  91. P2 03:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Logan Thompson
  92. P2 02:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  93. P2 01:47
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  94. P2 01:29
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  95. P2 01:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 01:03
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  97. P2 01:03
    Stoppage - Offside
  98. P2 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  99. P2 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  100. P2 00:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  101. P2 00:00
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  102. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  103. P1 19:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  104. P1 18:20
    Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  105. P1 18:06
    Takeaway by Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  106. P1 17:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nathan MacKinnon
  107. P1 17:04
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  108. P1 16:37
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  109. P1 16:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  110. P1 15:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Joel Kiviranta saved by Logan Thompson
  111. P1 15:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  112. P1 14:50
    Shorthanded - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  113. P1 14:50
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  114. P1 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Logan Thompson
  115. P1 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zakhar Bardakov
  116. P1 12:02
    Nazem Kadri credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
  117. P1 11:53
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Justin Sourdif
    0-1
  118. P1 11:15
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  119. P1 10:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zakhar Bardakov saved by Logan Thompson
  120. P1 10:34
    Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater - TV timeout
  121. P1 09:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Drury saved by Logan Thompson
  122. P1 09:12
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  123. P1 08:47
    Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  124. P1 07:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Malinski
  125. P1 07:27
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  126. P1 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  127. P1 05:23
    Penalty to Nicolas Roy 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk)
  128. P1 04:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Martin Necas
  129. P1 03:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  130. P1 03:14
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  131. P1 03:14
    Penalty to Cole Hutson 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Nathan MacKinnon)
  132. P1 01:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  133. P1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  134. P1 01:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P1 00:27
    SHOT
    Anthony Beauvillier shot blocked by Josh Manson
  136. P1 00:00
    Jack Drury won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stats
Avalanche
STATS
Capitals
24Shots on Goal22
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits18
5 Shots Blocked 13
13Giveaways12
AvalancheCOL
CapitalsWSH
24Shots on Goal22
60% Faceoff Win % 40%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/1
10Penalty Infraction Mins4
15Hits18
5 Shots Blocked 13
13Giveaways12

Avalanche vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Avalanche vs. Capitals
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Avalanche favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Avalanche 61¢, Capitals 39¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Avalanche: 58%
  • Capitals: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 58%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Avalanche vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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