Golden Knights vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Stars NHL game on March 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Golden Knights
3
2
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
1 1 1 3
Stars
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Golden Knights
    100%
  • Stars
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
1 1 1 3
Stars
2 0 0 2
P3 19:16 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P3 19:16 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:37 Nic Dowd shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 16:22 Goal scored by Reilly Smith
P3 16:19 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
P3 12:57 Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 12:42 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 12:19 Shea Theodore shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
P3 11:55 Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:49 Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Jamie Benn
P3 11:46 Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:02 Shot on goal by Brett Howden saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 10:00 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 08:49 Golden Knights shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 08:29 Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 08:11 Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 07:02 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 07:00 Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
P3 06:54 Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Adin Hill
P3 04:48 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:16
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  3. P3 19:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Adin Hill
  4. P3 18:37
    SHOT
    Nic Dowd shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  5. P3 16:22
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  6. P3 16:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Reilly Smith
    3-2
  7. P3 16:19
    SHOT
    Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nils Lundkvist
  8. P3 13:48
    Giveaway by Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
  9. P3 13:13
    Takeaway by Mavrik Bourque in defensive zone
  10. P3 12:57
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  11. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
  12. P3 12:19
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
  13. P3 11:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Casey DeSmith
  14. P3 11:49
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  15. P3 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Casey DeSmith
  16. P3 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brett Howden saved by Casey DeSmith
  17. P3 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  18. P3 09:18
    Justin Hryckowian credited with hit on Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
  19. P3 09:01
    Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Ivan Barbashev in neutral zone
  20. P3 08:49
    SHOT
    Golden Knights shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  21. P3 08:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 08:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Casey DeSmith
  23. P3 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
  24. P3 07:41
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  25. P3 07:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  26. P3 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  27. P3 06:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Adin Hill
  28. P3 04:48
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
  29. P3 04:37
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Mitch Marner in offensive zone
  30. P3 04:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Adin Hill
  31. P3 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
  32. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
  33. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Colton Sissons shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  34. P3 01:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
  35. P3 00:00
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  36. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  37. P2 19:46
    Shorthanded - Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  38. P2 18:37
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Nils Lundkvist in offensive zone
  39. P2 17:57
    Brett Howden credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
  40. P2 17:46
    Shorthanded - Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Brett Howden in defensive zone
  41. P2 17:19
    Power play - Brett Howden won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  42. P2 17:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Casey DeSmith
  43. P2 15:52
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  44. P2 14:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  45. P2 11:41
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  46. P2 11:41
    Penalty to Jack Eichel 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mavrik Bourque)
  47. P2 11:21
    Lian Bichsel credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in defensive zone
  48. P2 11:17
    SHOT
    Brett Howden shot blocked by Matt Duchene
  49. P2 10:26
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  50. P2 10:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Casey DeSmith
  51. P2 10:02
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  52. P2 10:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  53. P2 09:53
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
  54. P2 09:50
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Nic Dowd
  55. P2 09:33
    Keegan Kolesar credited with hit on Thomas Harley in offensive zone
  56. P2 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  57. P2 08:57
    Power play - Brett Howden won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  58. P2 08:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  59. P2 07:40
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
  60. P2 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Reilly Smith
  61. P2 07:11
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  62. P2 06:50
    Mavrik Bourque credited with hit on Brayden McNabb in neutral zone
  63. P2 06:45
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  64. P2 06:45
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  65. P2 05:29
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
  66. P2 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Casey DeSmith
  67. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Adin Hill
  68. P2 04:59
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  69. P2 04:58
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
  70. P2 04:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Casey DeSmith
  71. P2 03:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Casey DeSmith
  72. P2 03:23
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Adin Hill
  73. P2 03:17
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Justin Hryckowian shot blocked by Mitch Marner
  74. P2 02:19
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  75. P2 02:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  76. P2 02:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jeremy Lauzon saved by Casey DeSmith
  77. P2 01:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  78. P2 01:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
  79. P2 00:31
    Mitch Marner won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  80. P2 00:31
    Stoppage - Offside
  81. P2 00:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Arttu Hyry
  82. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  83. P1 19:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  84. P1 19:29
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  85. P1 18:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  86. P1 18:28
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Mitch Marner in defensive zone
  87. P1 17:48
    SHOT
    Mark Stone shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  88. P1 17:09
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nathan Bastian in defensive zone
  89. P1 17:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  90. P1 16:48
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in neutral zone
  91. P1 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  92. P1 14:56
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  93. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Adin Hill
  94. P1 14:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Casey DeSmith
  95. P1 13:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shea Theodore saved by Casey DeSmith
  96. P1 13:33
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  97. P1 13:14
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  98. P1 13:14
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  99. P1 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Casey DeSmith
  100. P1 12:44
    SHOT
    Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by Jamie Benn
  101. P1 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Casey DeSmith
  102. P1 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  103. P1 10:55
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  104. P1 10:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  105. P1 09:53
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  106. P1 09:48
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in defensive zone
  107. P1 09:48
    Penalty to Jeremy Lauzon 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Robertson)
  108. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  109. P1 08:21
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Esa Lindell
  110. P1 07:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Arttu Hyry saved by Adin Hill
  111. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Adin Hill
  112. P1 06:40
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  113. P1 06:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P1 05:31
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Mitch Marner
  115. P1 05:24
    SHOT
    Lian Bichsel shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  116. P1 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Barbashev saved by Casey DeSmith
  117. P1 04:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Barbashev
  118. P1 04:23
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  119. P1 04:01
    Golden Knights won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  120. P1 04:00
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brayden McNabb assisted by Keegan Kolesar and Shea Theodore
    1-0
  121. P1 03:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colton Sissons saved by Casey DeSmith
  122. P1 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Adin Hill
  123. P1 00:18
    Justin Hryckowian credited with hit on Jeremy Lauzon in offensive zone
  124. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Stars
33Shots on Goal15
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
26Hits24
12 Shots Blocked 25
14Giveaways11
Golden KnightsVGK
StarsDAL
33Shots on Goal15
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
6Penalty Infraction Mins8
26Hits24
12 Shots Blocked 25
14Giveaways11

Golden Knights vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Stars
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights +125, Stars 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 43%
  • Stars: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 43%, while the Stars have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Golden Knights in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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