Lightning vs. Flames Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Flames NHL game on March 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
3
4
Scotiabank Saddledome
Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 1 0 3
Flames
2 1 0 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    0%
  • Flames
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
1 1 1 0 3
Flames
2 1 0 1 4
P3 19:43 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Joel Farabee
P3 18:55 Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
P3 15:02 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:55 Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Devin Cooley
P3 14:04 Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:04 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:36 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 08:32 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
P3 07:28 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 07:04 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 05:43 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mikael Backlund
P3 04:57 Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 02:23 Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 01:32 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Devin Cooley
P3 00:26 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Devin Cooley
P2 19:47 Goal scored by Blake Coleman
P2 19:17 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
P2 19:04 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:00
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  3. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  4. P3 19:43
    SHOT
    Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  5. P3 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
  6. P3 18:55
    Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
  7. P3 18:30
    Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  8. P3 17:54
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  9. P3 17:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  10. P3 17:41
    Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  11. P3 15:40
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Devin Cooley
  13. P3 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Devin Cooley
  14. P3 14:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by Jonas Johansson
  15. P3 13:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  16. P3 12:47
    Lightning won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
  17. P3 12:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  18. P3 12:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
  19. P3 11:43
    Zach Whitecloud credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:36
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  21. P3 10:40
    Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Joel Farabee in defensive zone
  22. P3 10:19
    Giveaway by Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  23. P3 10:04
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  24. P3 10:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  25. P3 09:49
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  26. P3 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  27. P3 08:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
  28. P3 08:27
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Tyson Gross in offensive zone
  29. P3 08:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  30. P3 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  31. P3 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  32. P3 06:14
    Erik Cernak credited with hit on Mikael Backlund in defensive zone
  33. P3 05:48
    Giveaway by Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone
  34. P3 05:43
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Mikael Backlund
  35. P3 05:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  36. P3 04:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by Jonas Johansson
  37. P3 02:59
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  38. P3 02:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Coronato saved by Jonas Johansson
  39. P3 02:22
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  40. P3 02:22
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 01:45
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  42. P3 01:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Devin Cooley
  44. P3 00:31
    Giveaway by Matvei Gridin in defensive zone
  45. P3 00:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Devin Cooley
  46. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  47. P2 19:48
    Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  48. P2 19:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Blake Coleman
    2-4
  49. P2 19:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  50. P2 19:17
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
  51. P2 19:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
  52. P2 18:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Hanley saved by Jonas Johansson
  53. P2 17:57
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  54. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Lightning shot blocked by Morgan Frost
  55. P2 16:53
    Takeaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  56. P2 16:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  57. P2 15:35
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  58. P2 14:26
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
  59. P2 14:12
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  60. P2 13:51
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  61. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  62. P2 13:30
    Martin Pospisil credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
  63. P2 12:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
  64. P2 12:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
  65. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
  66. P2 11:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  67. P2 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Devin Cooley
  68. P2 10:41
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  69. P2 10:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 10:34
    Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  71. P2 10:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  72. P2 09:49
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Olli Maatta
  73. P2 09:29
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Hunter Brzustewicz
  74. P2 09:28
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  75. P2 09:13
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  76. P2 08:59
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
  77. P2 08:28
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  78. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Joel Farabee
  79. P2 08:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
  80. P2 07:03
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
  81. P2 06:58
    Morgan Frost credited with hit on Ryan McDonagh in offensive zone
  82. P2 06:49
    Matt Coronato won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  83. P2 06:49
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  84. P2 06:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by Jonas Johansson
  85. P2 05:31
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Olli Maatta
  86. P2 04:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  87. P2 04:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
  88. P2 04:32
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  89. P2 04:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by Jonas Johansson
  90. P2 04:12
    SHOT
    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by teammate
  91. P2 04:07
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Flames in defensive zone
  92. P2 03:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  93. P2 03:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
  94. P2 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
  95. P2 02:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Devin Cooley
  96. P2 02:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Devin Cooley
  97. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by Jonas Johansson
  98. P2 00:17
    Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  99. P2 00:00
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  100. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  101. P1 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Devin Cooley
  102. P1 18:43
    Adam Klapka credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
  103. P1 18:34
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Martin Pospisil in defensive zone
  104. P1 17:37
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  105. P1 17:05
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
  106. P1 16:56
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  107. P1 16:52
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  108. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  109. P1 16:13
    Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  110. P1 15:52
    Giveaway by Kevin Bahl in neutral zone
  111. P1 15:47
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in defensive zone
  112. P1 15:07
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Morgan Frost in offensive zone
  113. P1 15:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  114. P1 13:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Olli Maatta
  115. P1 12:31
    Lightning won faceoff against Flames in neutral zone
  116. P1 12:31
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  117. P1 12:01
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  118. P1 10:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
  119. P1 10:09
    SHOT
    Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Olli Maatta
  120. P1 10:01
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  121. P1 09:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kevin Bahl
  122. P1 09:18
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  123. P1 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Devin Cooley
  124. P1 09:01
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  125. P1 09:01
    Stoppage - Offside
  126. P1 08:51
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Flames in offensive zone
  127. P1 08:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McDonagh
  128. P1 07:44
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  129. P1 07:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Devin Cooley
  130. P1 07:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Devin Cooley
  131. P1 05:49
    Oliver Bjorkstrand credited with hit on Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  132. P1 05:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by Jonas Johansson
  133. P1 05:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Tyson Gross in neutral zone
  134. P1 05:16
    Stoppage - Offside
  135. P1 04:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Jonas Johansson
  136. P1 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Sharangovich
  137. P1 03:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  138. P1 02:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by Jonas Johansson
  139. P1 02:05
    Tyson Gross won faceoff against Nick Paul in neutral zone
  140. P1 02:05
    Stoppage - Offside
  141. P1 01:26
    Stoppage - Offside
  142. P1 01:17
    Kevin Bahl credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
  143. P1 00:50
    Giveaway by Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
  144. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Devin Cooley
  145. P1 00:16
    Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  146. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Flames
35Shots on Goal29
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits23
4 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways20
LightningTB
FlamesCGY
35Shots on Goal29
46% Faceoff Win % 54%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 0/0
0Penalty Infraction Mins2
16Hits23
4 Shots Blocked 16
17Giveaways20

Lightning vs. Flames: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Flames
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning 60¢, Flames 39¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 61%
  • Flames: 39%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 61%, while the Flames have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Flames predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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