Islanders vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Senators NHL game on March 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
2
3
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Senators
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 1 2 3
P3 19:45 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:53 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 15:29 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:28 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 12:04 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:32 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 09:36 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:31 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:53 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 05:12 Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Dennis Gilbert
P3 01:39 Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P2 19:58 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P2 18:44 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Artem Zub
P2 17:41 Power play - Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 17:14 Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 16:33 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 16:10 Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 15:29 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:57
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  5. P3 19:50
    Stoppage - Home Timeout
  6. P3 19:48
    Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
  7. P3 19:47
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  8. P3 19:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  9. P3 19:12
    Giveaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  10. P3 18:49
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  11. P3 17:46
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  12. P3 17:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  13. P3 16:39
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  14. P3 16:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
  16. P3 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
  17. P3 15:29
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  18. P3 14:28
    Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  19. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
  20. P3 13:43
    Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
  21. P3 13:35
    Warren Foegele won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  22. P3 13:35
    Stoppage - Clock Problem
  23. P3 13:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  24. P3 12:55
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
  25. P3 12:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
  26. P3 11:20
    Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  27. P3 10:53
    Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  28. P3 10:46
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  29. P3 10:39
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  30. P3 10:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  31. P3 10:32
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
  32. P3 09:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
  33. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
  34. P3 08:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  35. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  36. P3 07:10
    Carson Soucy credited with hit on Michael Amadio in defensive zone
  37. P3 05:50
    Takeaway by Tyler Kleven in neutral zone
  38. P3 05:43
    Claude Giroux credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  39. P3 05:12
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  40. P3 05:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Dennis Gilbert
    2-2
  41. P3 04:41
    Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
  42. P3 04:04
    Stoppage - Offside
  43. P3 03:36
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  44. P3 03:36
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  45. P3 03:12
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  46. P3 03:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  47. P3 02:39
    Takeaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
  48. P3 02:13
    Warren Foegele credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
  49. P3 02:02
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  50. P3 01:39
    SHOT
    Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  51. P3 01:34
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
  52. P3 00:53
    Michael Amadio credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  53. P3 00:26
    Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
  54. P3 00:00
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
  57. P2 19:30
    Takeaway by Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  58. P2 19:25
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  59. P2 18:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Artem Zub
  60. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  61. P2 17:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  62. P2 17:06
    Penalty to Lars Eller 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
  63. P2 17:06
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  64. P2 16:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  65. P2 16:19
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  66. P2 16:19
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  67. P2 16:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  68. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  69. P2 14:46
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Nick Cousins in offensive zone
  70. P2 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by James Reimer
  71. P2 13:57
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  72. P2 12:53
    Shorthanded - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  73. P2 12:53
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  74. P2 12:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  75. P2 12:03
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  76. P2 11:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  77. P2 11:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  78. P2 11:13
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  79. P2 11:13
    Penalty to Bo Horvat 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
  80. P2 11:13
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  81. P2 10:27
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  82. P2 10:16
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
  83. P2 10:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  84. P2 08:50
    Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  85. P2 08:50
    Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
  86. P2 08:24
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
  87. P2 08:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by James Reimer
  88. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  89. P2 07:01
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
  90. P2 06:41
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  91. P2 06:41
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  92. P2 06:27
    SHOT
    Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  93. P2 05:58
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  94. P2 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
  95. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by James Reimer
  96. P2 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ridly Greig
  97. P2 04:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer assisted by Ryan Pulock
    1-0
  98. P2 04:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  99. P2 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  100. P2 03:38
    Power play - Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
  101. P2 03:04
    Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  102. P2 03:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by James Reimer
  103. P2 02:43
    Power play - Anders Lee won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  104. P2 02:07
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  105. P2 01:55
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  106. P2 01:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by James Reimer
  107. P2 01:07
    Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
  108. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
  109. P2 00:00
    Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  110. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  111. P1 19:11
    Power play - Giveaway by Drake Batherson in neutral zone
  112. P1 18:33
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  113. P1 18:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
  114. P1 18:11
    Penalty to Carson Soucy 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Drake Batherson)
  115. P1 18:11
    Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
  116. P1 18:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  117. P1 17:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  118. P1 17:14
    SHOT
    Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  119. P1 16:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
  120. P1 16:23
    SHOT
    Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  121. P1 15:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Ilya Sorokin
  122. P1 15:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  123. P1 14:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by James Reimer
  124. P1 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  125. P1 13:05
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  126. P1 13:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 12:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  128. P1 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Cousins
  129. P1 11:52
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Warren Foegele
  130. P1 11:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by James Reimer
  131. P1 10:50
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  132. P1 10:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  133. P1 10:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
  134. P1 10:26
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  135. P1 10:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  136. P1 10:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by James Reimer
  137. P1 09:23
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  138. P1 09:23
    Stoppage - Offside
  139. P1 09:12
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  140. P1 09:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by James Reimer
  141. P1 08:36
    Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
  142. P1 08:09
    Power play - Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
  143. P1 06:35
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
  144. P1 06:32
    Penalty to Dylan Cozens 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
  145. P1 06:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  146. P1 05:54
    Penalty to Brayden Schenn 2 minutes for Misconduct
  147. P1 05:50
    Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  148. P1 05:50
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  149. P1 05:21
    SHOT
    Carson Soucy shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  150. P1 04:41
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  151. P1 04:41
    Stoppage - Icing
  152. P1 03:28
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Dennis Gilbert
  153. P1 02:59
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
  154. P1 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
  155. P1 02:29
    SHOT
    Nick Cousins shot blocked by teammate
  156. P1 01:14
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  157. P1 00:14
    Nick Cousins credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  158. P1 00:01
    Penalty to Anders Lee 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
  159. P1 00:00
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Senators
19Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins18
19Hits29
10 Shots Blocked 17
14Giveaways15
IslandersNYI
SenatorsOTT
19Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins18
19Hits29
10 Shots Blocked 17
14Giveaways15

Islanders vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +112, Senators 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 44%
  • Senators: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 44%, while the Senators have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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