Lightning vs. Kraken Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Kraken NHL game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
6
2
Climate Pledge Arena
Kraken
Climate Pledge Arena
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 3 6
Kraken
0 2 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Kraken
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2 1 3 6
Kraken
0 2 0 2
P3 19:48 Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 19:32 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 17:42 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Ryan Winterton
P3 17:09 Vince Dunn shot blocked by teammate
P3 16:53 Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Gage Goncalves and Nikita Kucherov
P3 13:12 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 12:22 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 10:12 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ryker Evans
P3 09:20 Shot on goal by Adam Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:10 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 07:36 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Matty Beniers
P3 06:35 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P3 05:55 Shot missed by Ryker Evans
P3 04:52 Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 04:35 Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel
P3 03:55 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 03:54 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 02:16 Shot missed by Brandon Montour
P3 01:43 Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
  3. P3 19:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Paul
  4. P3 19:22
    Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  5. P3 18:43
    Giveaway by Ryan McDonagh in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:09
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  7. P3 18:01
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:42
    SHOT
    Erik Cernak shot blocked by Ryan Winterton
  9. P3 17:40
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  10. P3 17:16
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in neutral zone
  11. P3 17:16
    Stoppage - Objects on Ice
  12. P3 17:09
    SHOT
    Vince Dunn shot blocked by teammate
  13. P3 17:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  14. P3 16:54
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  15. P3 16:53
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Brandon Hagel assisted by Gage Goncalves and Nikita Kucherov
    5-2
  16. P3 15:06
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
  17. P3 15:06
    Penalty to Bobby McMann 2 minutes for Boarding (Drawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous)
  18. P3 14:27
    Stoppage - Icing
  19. P3 14:02
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
  20. P3 14:02
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  21. P3 13:36
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
  22. P3 13:36
    Stoppage
  23. P3 13:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  24. P3 13:00
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  25. P3 12:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
  26. P3 12:48
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
  27. P3 12:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  28. P3 12:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  29. P3 10:12
    SHOT
    Victor Hedman shot blocked by Ryker Evans
  30. P3 09:34
    Takeaway by Jordan Eberle in neutral zone
  31. P3 09:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Larsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 09:17
    Stoppage - Icing
  33. P3 08:12
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  34. P3 08:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
  35. P3 07:36
    SHOT
    Victor Hedman shot blocked by Matty Beniers
  36. P3 06:35
    SHOT
    Bobby McMann shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
  37. P3 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryker Evans
  38. P3 04:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Montour
  39. P3 04:35
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel
    4-2
  40. P3 03:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  41. P3 03:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
  42. P3 02:34
    Giveaway by Jamie Oleksiak in defensive zone
  43. P3 02:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Montour
  44. P3 01:43
    SHOT
    Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by Victor Hedman
  45. P3 01:37
    Lightning won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  46. P3 01:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  47. P3 01:18
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Vince Dunn
  48. P3 01:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  49. P3 00:41
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  50. P3 00:00
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ben Meyers in neutral zone
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:36
    Ben Meyers won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
  53. P2 19:07
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
  54. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  55. P2 17:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Melanson
  56. P2 16:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  57. P2 15:49
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
  58. P2 15:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  59. P2 14:51
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  60. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  61. P2 13:46
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Ryker Evans
  62. P2 13:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Frederick Gaudreau
  63. P2 12:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  64. P2 12:24
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Ben Meyers in defensive zone
  65. P2 12:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  66. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  67. P2 10:32
    Nick Paul won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  68. P2 10:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Vince Dunn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  69. P2 10:28
    Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  70. P2 10:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Eberle
  71. P2 09:52
    SHOT
    Ryan Winterton shot blocked by teammate
  72. P2 09:46
    Lightning won faceoff against Kraken in neutral zone
  73. P2 08:30
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  74. P2 08:22
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
  75. P2 08:22
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 08:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Matty Beniers shot blocked by Brandon Hagel
  77. P2 07:42
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  78. P2 07:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Oleksiak saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  79. P2 07:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Oleksiak
  80. P2 05:50
    SHOT
    Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Vince Dunn
  81. P2 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
  82. P2 04:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
  83. P2 04:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
  84. P2 03:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  85. P2 02:53
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  86. P2 02:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 01:16
    Giveaway by Brandon Montour in defensive zone
  88. P2 01:07
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  89. P2 01:07
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Bobby McMann assisted by Matty Beniers
    3-1
  90. P2 00:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Anthony Cirelli and Brandon Hagel
    3-0
  91. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Shane Wright in neutral zone
  92. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  93. P1 18:49
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  94. P1 18:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Philipp Grubauer
  95. P1 18:17
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
  96. P1 18:10
    Power play - Berkly Catton won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  97. P1 18:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brandon Montour saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  98. P1 17:18
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Jared McCann
  99. P1 16:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Chandler Stephenson shot blocked by teammate
  100. P1 16:35
    Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Ryan Lindgren)
  101. P1 16:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  102. P1 15:28
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  103. P1 14:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Brayden Point shot blocked by Shane Wright
  104. P1 14:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by teammate
  105. P1 14:36
    Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
  106. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Philipp Grubauer
  107. P1 13:06
    Shorthanded - Frederick Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  108. P1 13:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P1 12:42
    Shorthanded - Frederick Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  110. P1 11:31
    SHOT
    Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
  111. P1 11:13
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Berkly Catton in defensive zone
  112. P1 11:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matty Beniers
  113. P1 10:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  114. P1 09:49
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  115. P1 09:43
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  116. P1 07:52
    Giveaway by Berkly Catton in defensive zone
  117. P1 06:45
    Giveaway by Jared McCann in offensive zone
  118. P1 06:21
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  119. P1 06:21
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  120. P1 05:45
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Brayden Point and Jake Guentzel
    1-0
  121. P1 05:11
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Frederick Gaudreau in offensive zone
  122. P1 04:25
    Giveaway by Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  123. P1 04:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  124. P1 03:02
    SHOT
    Ryker Evans shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  125. P1 01:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Philipp Grubauer
  126. P1 01:13
    Giveaway by Bobby McMann in offensive zone
  127. P1 00:25
    Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in offensive zone
  128. P1 00:00
    Ben Meyers won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Kraken
25Shots on Goal18
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
21Hits23
7 Shots Blocked 20
16Giveaways21
LightningTB
KrakenSEA
25Shots on Goal18
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
21Hits23
7 Shots Blocked 20
16Giveaways21

Lightning vs. Kraken: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Kraken
  • Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning 63¢, Kraken +170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 60%
  • Kraken: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 60%, while the Kraken have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Kraken predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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