Flames vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flames vs. Islanders NHL game on March 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flames
2
3
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 2 2
Islanders
3 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flames
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flames
0 0 2 2
Islanders
3 0 0 3
P3 15:16 Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 14:46 Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
P3 14:38 Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by David Rittich
P3 12:42 Blake Coleman shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P3 12:01 Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
P3 11:58 Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
P3 10:40 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by David Rittich
P3 08:01 Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 07:06 Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by David Rittich
P3 06:33 Shot missed by Matt Coronato
P3 06:05 Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 05:53 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 04:44 Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
P3 04:44 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Dustin Wolf
P3 03:34 Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
P3 03:08 Shot missed by John Beecher
P3 02:34 Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by David Rittich
P3 02:17 Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
P2 17:05 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Dustin Wolf
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:54
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:14
    Giveaway by Emil Heineman in offensive zone
  4. P3 16:53
    Anders Lee credited with hit on Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  5. P3 16:20
    Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  6. P3 15:16
    SHOT
    Zayne Parekh shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  7. P3 14:48
    Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  8. P3 14:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Zayne Parekh
  9. P3 14:41
    Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  10. P3 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Blake Coleman saved by David Rittich
  11. P3 14:09
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  12. P3 14:09
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  13. P3 13:59
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yegor Sharangovich in neutral zone
  14. P3 13:29
    Giveaway by Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  15. P3 13:04
    Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
  16. P3 12:58
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  17. P3 12:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  18. P3 12:53
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
  19. P3 12:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  20. P3 12:42
    SHOT
    Blake Coleman shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  21. P3 12:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mikael Backlund
  22. P3 11:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
  23. P3 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
  24. P3 09:24
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  25. P3 09:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  26. P3 08:28
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  27. P3 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Sharangovich saved by David Rittich
  28. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Dustin Wolf
  29. P3 07:22
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  30. P3 07:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  31. P3 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Frost saved by David Rittich
  32. P3 06:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Coronato
  33. P3 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Dustin Wolf
  34. P3 05:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
  35. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Zayne Parekh
  36. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Dustin Wolf
  37. P3 04:06
    Takeaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
  38. P3 03:40
    John Beecher credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
  39. P3 03:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Whitecloud saved by David Rittich
  40. P3 03:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Beecher
  41. P3 02:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Joel Farabee saved by David Rittich
  42. P3 02:17
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  43. P3 02:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
  44. P3 02:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 01:53
    Yegor Sharangovich credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  46. P3 01:46
    Yegor Sharangovich won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  47. P3 01:38
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  49. P3 00:00
    Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  50. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  51. P2 19:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  52. P2 19:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  53. P2 18:55
    Anders Lee won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  54. P2 18:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  55. P2 18:05
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  56. P2 17:08
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  57. P2 17:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  58. P2 17:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Dustin Wolf
  59. P2 16:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Dustin Wolf
  60. P2 15:57
    Anders Lee credited with hit on Yan Kuznetsov in offensive zone
  61. P2 15:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Dustin Wolf
  62. P2 15:20
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Morgan Frost in defensive zone
  63. P2 15:13
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  64. P2 15:13
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  65. P2 13:58
    SHOT
    Zach Whitecloud shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
  66. P2 13:53
    SHOT
    Mikael Backlund shot blocked by Carson Soucy
  67. P2 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Dustin Wolf
  68. P2 12:26
    SHOT
    Morgan Frost shot blocked by Anders Lee
  69. P2 12:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  70. P2 11:52
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  71. P2 11:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by David Rittich
  72. P2 11:07
    John Beecher won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
  73. P2 11:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  74. P2 10:20
    Takeaway by Kevin Bahl in neutral zone
  75. P2 09:58
    Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  76. P2 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
  77. P2 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Emil Heineman
  78. P2 06:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brayden Schenn
  79. P2 06:32
    Giveaway by Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  80. P2 05:58
    Morgan Frost won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  81. P2 05:58
    Stoppage - Offside
  82. P2 05:10
    SHOT
    Kevin Bahl shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  83. P2 04:42
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  84. P2 04:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  85. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Dustin Wolf
  86. P2 03:50
    Giveaway by John Beecher in defensive zone
  87. P2 03:41
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against John Beecher in offensive zone
  88. P2 01:55
    Takeaway by Carson Soucy in neutral zone
  89. P2 01:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by David Rittich
  90. P2 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Strome saved by David Rittich
  91. P2 01:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  92. P2 00:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Backlund saved by David Rittich
  93. P2 00:00
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in neutral zone
  94. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  95. P1 19:35
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in neutral zone
  96. P1 19:35
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Simon Holmstrom assisted by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
    0-3
  97. P1 19:07
    Power play - Mikael Backlund won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  98. P1 18:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matvei Gridin saved by David Rittich
  99. P1 18:18
    Power play - Giveaway by Zayne Parekh in defensive zone
  100. P1 18:04
    Penalty to Calum Ritchie 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Matvei Gridin)
  101. P1 16:55
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
  102. P1 16:35
    Matt Coronato won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  103. P1 16:26
    SHOT
    Olli Maatta shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
  104. P1 15:50
    Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in defensive zone
  105. P1 15:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  106. P1 15:01
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Devin Cooley
  107. P1 14:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Frost
  108. P1 14:28
    SHOT
    Power play - Morgan Frost shot blocked by teammate
  109. P1 14:07
    Power play - Morgan Frost won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  110. P1 14:07
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  111. P1 12:58
    Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Kevin Bahl in offensive zone
  112. P1 12:55
    Kyle MacLean credited with hit on Olli Maatta in offensive zone
  113. P1 12:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  114. P1 11:11
    Blake Coleman credited with hit on Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  115. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Devin Cooley
  116. P1 10:50
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  117. P1 10:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  118. P1 10:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  119. P1 10:06
    Flames won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
  120. P1 09:48
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Morgan Frost in neutral zone
  121. P1 09:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  122. P1 09:30
    SHOT
    Blake Coleman shot blocked by Adam Pelech
  123. P1 09:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yan Kuznetsov saved by David Rittich
  124. P1 08:42
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  125. P1 08:42
    Stoppage - Icing
  126. P1 08:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Olli Maatta saved by David Rittich
  127. P1 07:22
    Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  128. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  129. P1 06:53
    Ryan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
  130. P1 06:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  131. P1 06:42
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Zach Whitecloud in offensive zone
  132. P1 05:52
    Takeaway by Zayne Parekh in neutral zone
  133. P1 05:43
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau credited with hit on Zayne Parekh in offensive zone
  134. P1 03:54
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  135. P1 03:19
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Mikael Backlund in offensive zone
  136. P1 03:17
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Zach Whitecloud
  137. P1 01:54
    Giveaway by Olli Maatta in defensive zone
  138. P1 01:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Devin Cooley
  139. P1 00:14
    Giveaway by Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stats
Flames
STATS
Islanders
32Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
9Hits22
10 Shots Blocked 18
17Giveaways16
FlamesCGY
IslandersNYI
32Shots on Goal27
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
9Hits22
10 Shots Blocked 18
17Giveaways16

Flames vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flames vs. Islanders
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Flames +135, Islanders -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flames: 43%
  • Islanders: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flames a win probability of 43%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Flames in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flames vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.