Penguins vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Golden Knights NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Penguins
2
6
T-Mobile Arena
Golden Knights
T-Mobile Arena
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 0 2
Golden Knights
1 2 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Penguins
    0%
  • Golden Knights
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Penguins
0 2 0 2
Golden Knights
1 2 3 6
P3 18:40 Shot missed by Jack Eichel
P3 17:29 Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Ben Kindel
P3 16:32 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 16:26 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 15:54 Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P3 14:53 Adin Hill shot blocked by Ryan Shea
P3 13:37 Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 13:05 Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
P3 12:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
P3 11:42 Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 11:12 Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 10:16 Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
P3 09:28 Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:50 Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
P3 08:08 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Stone
P3 07:50 Mark Stone shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 06:19 Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Ivan Barbashev and Shea Theodore
P3 05:37 Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
P3 04:35 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:01
    Connor Dewar won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:44
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  5. P3 18:08
    Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:02
    Stoppage - Offside
  7. P3 17:45
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  8. P3 17:45
    Stoppage - Icing
  9. P3 17:29
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Ben Kindel
  10. P3 17:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  11. P3 17:02
    Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
  12. P3 16:34
    Brett Howden won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  13. P3 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
  14. P3 16:28
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in offensive zone
  15. P3 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
  16. P3 16:01
    Stoppage - Icing
  17. P3 15:56
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  18. P3 15:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nic Dowd
  19. P3 14:53
    SHOT
    Adin Hill shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  20. P3 13:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  21. P3 13:05
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Rickard Rakell
  22. P3 12:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  23. P3 12:21
    Shorthanded - Brett Howden won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  25. P3 11:18
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
  26. P3 11:12
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  27. P3 10:35
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  28. P3 10:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  29. P3 10:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
  30. P3 09:28
    SHOT
    Ben Kindel shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  31. P3 09:07
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Adin Hill
  33. P3 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Adin Hill
  34. P3 08:10
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  35. P3 08:08
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mark Stone
  36. P3 07:52
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  37. P3 07:50
    SHOT
    Mark Stone shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
  38. P3 07:35
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  39. P3 07:18
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  40. P3 07:00
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  41. P3 07:00
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  42. P3 06:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Ivan Barbashev and Shea Theodore
    2-6
  43. P3 05:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  44. P3 05:15
    Stoppage - Icing
  45. P3 04:58
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  46. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Arturs Silovs
  47. P3 03:35
    Takeaway by Ryan Shea in defensive zone
  48. P3 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  49. P3 02:22
    SHOT
    Blake Lizotte shot blocked by Brayden McNabb
  50. P3 00:00
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:09
    Thomas Novak won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
  53. P2 19:09
    Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Brett Howden)
  54. P2 19:09
    Penalty to Brett Howden 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Kris Letang)
  55. P2 18:27
    SHOT
    Yegor Chinakhov shot blocked by Colton Sissons
  56. P2 18:14
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Colton Sissons in offensive zone
  57. P2 18:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  58. P2 17:45
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  59. P2 17:08
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in neutral zone
  60. P2 16:47
    SHOT
    Shea Theodore shot blocked by Ryan Shea
  61. P2 16:22
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ben Kindel assisted by Anthony Mantha and Ryan Shea
    2-3
  62. P2 15:18
    SHOT
    Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Noah Hanifin
  63. P2 14:58
    Giveaway by Erik Karlsson in offensive zone
  64. P2 14:37
    Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
  65. P2 14:37
    Stoppage - Offside
  66. P2 14:04
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  67. P2 13:58
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Noel Acciari in defensive zone
  68. P2 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Adin Hill
  69. P2 13:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Rasmus Andersson
  70. P2 13:12
    Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  71. P2 13:12
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  72. P2 13:07
    Power play - Ben Kindel won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  73. P2 13:07
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  74. P2 12:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  75. P2 11:47
    Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Misconduct
  76. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kris Letang
  77. P2 10:38
    SHOT
    Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by teammate
  78. P2 10:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  79. P2 10:00
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  80. P2 10:00
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  81. P2 09:20
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  82. P2 09:08
    SHOT
    Connor Dewar shot blocked by Tomas Hertl
  83. P2 08:26
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Penguins assisted by Ryan Shea
    1-2
  84. P2 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  85. P2 07:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Yegor Chinakhov
  86. P2 07:39
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  87. P2 07:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  88. P2 06:11
    Jack Eichel won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
  89. P2 05:02
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Brett Howden in neutral zone
  90. P2 05:02
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Pavel Dorofeyev assisted by Kaedan Korczak and Braeden Bowman
    0-2
  91. P2 04:42
    SHOT
    Connor Clifton shot blocked by Shea Theodore
  92. P2 04:18
    Giveaway by Elmer Soderblom in offensive zone
  93. P2 04:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Elmer Soderblom
  94. P2 03:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  95. P2 03:38
    Shorthanded - Jack Eichel won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
  96. P2 03:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  97. P2 02:15
    Shorthanded - Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  98. P2 01:45
    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
  99. P2 01:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  100. P2 01:32
    Stoppage - Offside
  101. P2 00:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Arturs Silovs
  102. P2 00:00
    Noel Acciari won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
  103. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  104. P1 19:28
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
  105. P1 19:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Keegan Kolesar
  106. P1 18:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  107. P1 18:16
    Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  108. P1 18:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  109. P1 18:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Blake Lizotte
  110. P1 17:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
  111. P1 16:52
    Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Blake Lizotte in offensive zone
  112. P1 16:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  113. P1 16:11
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  114. P1 16:11
    Penalty to Connor Clifton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Tomas Hertl)
  115. P1 16:11
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  116. P1 15:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Novak
  117. P1 15:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
  118. P1 14:51
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in defensive zone
  119. P1 14:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden McNabb saved by Arturs Silovs
  120. P1 14:17
    Giveaway by Arturs Silovs in defensive zone
  121. P1 13:07
    Takeaway by Elmer Soderblom in defensive zone
  122. P1 13:03
    SHOT
    Jack Eichel shot blocked by Avery Hayes
  123. P1 11:38
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitch Marner
  124. P1 10:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Adin Hill
  125. P1 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor Clifton
  126. P1 08:41
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
  127. P1 08:30
    Colton Sissons won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
  128. P1 08:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ville Koivunen saved by Adin Hill
  129. P1 07:47
    Takeaway by Connor Clifton in defensive zone
  130. P1 07:38
    SHOT
    Brayden McNabb shot blocked by Ilya Solovyov
  131. P1 07:36
    Penguins won faceoff against Golden Knights in neutral zone
  132. P1 07:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Adin Hill
  133. P1 06:17
    Penguins won faceoff against Rasmus Andersson in offensive zone
  134. P1 06:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  135. P1 06:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ben Kindel
  136. P1 05:20
    Blake Lizotte won faceoff against Brett Howden in defensive zone
  137. P1 05:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
  138. P1 04:27
    SHOT
    Noah Hanifin shot blocked by Bryan Rust
  139. P1 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Blake Lizotte
  140. P1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
  141. P1 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Eichel
  142. P1 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mark Stone
  143. P1 00:40
    Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Golden Knights in offensive zone
  144. P1 00:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Adin Hill
  145. P1 00:08
    Giveaway by Noah Hanifin in offensive zone
  146. P1 00:03
    Stoppage - High Stick
  147. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Penguins
STATS
Golden Knights
26Shots on Goal17
31% Faceoff Win % 69%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins12
12Hits27
12 Shots Blocked 20
17Giveaways23
PenguinsPIT
Golden KnightsVGK
26Shots on Goal17
31% Faceoff Win % 69%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
10Penalty Infraction Mins12
12Hits27
12 Shots Blocked 20
17Giveaways23

Penguins vs. Golden Knights: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Penguins vs. Golden Knights
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Penguins +150, Golden Knights -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Penguins: 43%
  • Golden Knights: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Golden Knights have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at T-Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Penguins vs. Golden Knights predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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