Ducks vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Ducks vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Ducks
4
6
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Ducks
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 2 3 6
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Ducks
    0%
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Ducks
2 1 1 4
Maple Leafs
1 2 3 6
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:45 Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:12 Goal scored by Matthew Knies (Empty Net)
P3 18:00 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 17:55 Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:41 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 14:51 Power play - Chris Kreider shot blocked by Philippe Myers
P3 13:06 Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 12:26 Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:03 Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
P3 10:36 Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 08:40 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Lukas Dostal
P3 08:35 Shorthanded - Goal scored by Bo Groulx assisted by Brandon Carlo
P3 08:01 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mason McTavish
P3 07:19 Shot missed by Bo Groulx
P3 06:02 Shot on goal by Tim Washe saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:21 Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 04:44 Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P3 01:59 Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 00:46 Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Lukas Dostal
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
  3. P3 19:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
  4. P3 19:34
    John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:42
    Jansen Harkins credited with hit on Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:20
    Tim Washe won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
  7. P3 18:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matthew Knies (Empty Net)
    3-6
  8. P3 18:05
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  9. P3 18:05
    Stoppage - Icing
  10. P3 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  11. P3 17:58
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  12. P3 17:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
  13. P3 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Lukas Dostal
  14. P3 15:48
    Shorthanded - Giveaway by Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  15. P3 15:35
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  16. P3 14:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Chris Kreider shot blocked by Philippe Myers
  17. P3 13:36
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  18. P3 13:36
    Penalty to Jackson LaCombe 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Easton Cowan)
  19. P3 13:32
    Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
  20. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  21. P3 12:28
    Leo Carlsson won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  22. P3 12:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mikael Granlund saved by Joseph Woll
  23. P3 11:19
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
  24. P3 11:19
    Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Misconduct
  25. P3 11:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Carlo
  26. P3 10:40
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  27. P3 10:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
  28. P3 09:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  29. P3 08:40
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Carlo saved by Lukas Dostal
  30. P3 08:35
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Bo Groulx assisted by Brandon Carlo
    3-5
  31. P3 08:10
    Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in neutral zone
  32. P3 08:10
    Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
  33. P3 08:01
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mason McTavish
  34. P3 07:54
    Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
  35. P3 07:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Groulx
  36. P3 06:43
    Chris Kreider credited with hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson in offensive zone
  37. P3 06:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  38. P3 06:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tim Washe saved by Joseph Woll
  39. P3 05:22
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
  40. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
  41. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  42. P3 03:35
    William Nylander credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
  43. P3 03:02
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
  44. P3 03:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  45. P3 02:31
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
  46. P3 01:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
  47. P3 01:32
    Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  48. P3 01:32
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  49. P3 01:14
    Stoppage - Video Review
  50. P3 01:14
    Penalty to Chris Kreider 5 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Calle Jarnkrok)
  51. P3 01:14
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  52. P3 00:57
    Stoppage - Offside
  53. P3 00:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Lukas Dostal
  54. P3 00:36
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  55. P3 00:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Knies shot blocked by teammate
  56. P3 00:00
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
  57. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  58. P2 19:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Lukas Dostal
  59. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Mikael Granlund
  60. P2 18:48
    Power play - Giveaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Max Domi shot blocked by Drew Helleson
  62. P2 16:26
    Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Mikael Granlund in neutral zone
  63. P2 15:47
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  64. P2 15:47
    Stoppage - Video Review
  65. P2 15:47
    Penalty to Radko Gudas 5 minutes for Kneeing (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
  66. P2 13:48
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  67. P2 13:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  68. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
  69. P2 11:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pavel Mintyukov saved by Joseph Woll
  70. P2 10:55
    Cutter Gauthier credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
  71. P2 10:47
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  72. P2 10:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Lukas Dostal
  73. P2 10:01
    Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
  74. P2 10:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
  75. P2 09:46
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
  76. P2 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Killorn
  77. P2 08:46
    Power play - Mikael Granlund won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  78. P2 08:28
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
  79. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Bo Groulx
  80. P2 06:57
    Power play - Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
  81. P2 06:35
    SHOT
    Philippe Myers shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
  82. P2 06:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Lukas Dostal
  83. P2 05:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Lukas Dostal
  84. P2 05:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  85. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Radko Gudas shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  86. P2 04:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  87. P2 02:55
    Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against Tim Washe in neutral zone
  88. P2 02:28
    SHOT
    Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  89. P2 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
  90. P2 01:55
    Stoppage - Icing
  91. P2 01:25
    Philippe Myers credited with hit on Leo Carlsson in defensive zone
  92. P2 00:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Lukas Dostal
  93. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  94. P1 19:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
  95. P1 19:00
    John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
  96. P1 18:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
  97. P1 18:31
    Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  98. P1 18:31
    Penalty to Chris Kreider 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Simon Benoit)
  99. P1 17:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  100. P1 17:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  101. P1 17:13
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  102. P1 17:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  103. P1 16:33
    Shorthanded - Jacob Quillan credited with hit on Mikael Granlund in defensive zone
  104. P1 15:55
    Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
  105. P1 15:53
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  106. P1 14:45
    Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  107. P1 14:45
    Penalty to Easton Cowan 2 minutes for Misconduct
  108. P1 14:45
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  109. P1 14:45
    Penalty to Jacob Trouba 2 minutes for Misconduct
  110. P1 14:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Lukas Dostal
  111. P1 14:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ian Moore
  112. P1 13:47
    SHOT
    Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
  113. P1 13:21
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
  114. P1 12:58
    SHOT
    Alex Killorn shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  115. P1 12:39
    SHOT
    Easton Cowan shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
  116. P1 12:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier
    1-1
  117. P1 12:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
  118. P1 12:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by teammate
  119. P1 11:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  120. P1 11:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
  121. P1 10:25
    Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in offensive zone
  122. P1 10:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  123. P1 10:11
    Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mikael Granlund)
  124. P1 10:11
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  125. P1 10:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
  126. P1 09:39
    Stoppage - Icing
  127. P1 08:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by Joseph Woll
  128. P1 08:10
    SHOT
    Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  129. P1 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Drew Helleson saved by Joseph Woll
  130. P1 07:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ducks
  131. P1 07:19
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matias Maccelli
    0-1
  132. P1 06:50
    SHOT
    Jansen Harkins shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
  133. P1 06:40
    SHOT
    Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Bo Groulx
  134. P1 06:39
    Ducks won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  135. P1 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by Joseph Woll
  136. P1 05:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
  137. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
  138. P1 04:52
    Stoppage - Offside
  139. P1 04:41
    SHOT
    Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  140. P1 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Joseph Woll
  141. P1 03:15
    SHOT
    Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
  142. P1 02:43
    Mikael Granlund won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  143. P1 02:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Lukas Dostal
  144. P1 02:37
    Stoppage - Icing
  145. P1 02:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
  146. P1 01:27
    Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
  147. P1 01:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  148. P1 00:21
    Auston Matthews won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
  149. P1 00:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by Joseph Woll
  150. P1 00:01
    Penalty to Michael Pezzetta 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Jeffrey Viel)
  151. P1 00:00
    Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Stats
Ducks
STATS
Maple Leafs
40Shots on Goal28
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/3
41Penalty Infraction Mins46
15Hits34
9 Shots Blocked 13
9Giveaways21
DucksANA
Maple LeafsTOR
40Shots on Goal28
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
5/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/3
41Penalty Infraction Mins46
15Hits34
9 Shots Blocked 13
9Giveaways21

Ducks vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Ducks vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Ducks favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Ducks -105, Maple Leafs -108

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Ducks: 48%
  • Maple Leafs: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Ducks a win probability of 48%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Ducks vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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