Oilers vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Stars NHL game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Oilers
2
7
American Airlines Center
Stars
American Airlines Center
TEAM123T
Oilers
0 2 0 2
Stars
3 2 2 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    0%
  • Stars
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
0 2 0 2
Stars
3 2 2 7
P3 19:18 Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Tyler Myers
P3 18:56 Goal scored by Matt Duchene
P3 18:02 Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:37 Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 16:46 Adam Henrique shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:57 Shot missed by Adam Erne
P3 14:59 Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 08:35 Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:27 Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 06:45 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 06:39 Shot missed by Matt Savoie
P3 06:29 Matt Duchene shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:11 Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Jake Walman
P3 05:16 Adam Henrique shot blocked by Thomas Harley
P3 04:26 Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 04:23 Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 03:33 Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 01:41 Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 01:11 Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 00:53 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Jake Oettinger
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:18
    SHOT
    Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Tyler Myers
  3. P3 18:57
    Oilers won faceoff against Tyler Myers in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:56
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Matt Duchene
    2-7
  5. P3 18:11
    Penalty to Jason Dickinson 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Mavrik Bourque)
  6. P3 18:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Jake Oettinger
  7. P3 17:39
    Sam Steel won faceoff against Josh Samanski in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Jake Oettinger
  9. P3 16:46
    SHOT
    Adam Henrique shot blocked by teammate
  10. P3 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Erne
  11. P3 15:41
    Power play - Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  12. P3 15:41
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 15:25
    Power play - Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Sam Steel in offensive zone
  14. P3 15:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  15. P3 14:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  16. P3 14:44
    Shorthanded - Mavrik Bourque credited with hit on Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  17. P3 13:43
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  18. P3 13:43
    Penalty to Esa Lindell 2 minutes for Interference
  19. P3 12:07
    Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  20. P3 11:57
    Oilers won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  21. P3 10:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  22. P3 09:25
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  23. P3 09:25
    Stoppage - Icing
  24. P3 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Jake Oettinger
  25. P3 08:16
    Oilers won faceoff against Stars in offensive zone
  26. P3 07:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  27. P3 06:47
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
  28. P3 06:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Jake Oettinger
  29. P3 06:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  30. P3 06:29
    SHOT
    Matt Duchene shot blocked by teammate
  31. P3 06:21
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
  32. P3 06:21
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  33. P3 06:11
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Jake Walman
  34. P3 05:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  35. P3 05:16
    SHOT
    Adam Henrique shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  36. P3 04:27
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in defensive zone
  37. P3 04:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Erne saved by Tristan Jarry
  38. P3 04:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 04:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Tristan Jarry
  40. P3 04:20
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  41. P3 03:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Tristan Jarry
  42. P3 01:50
    Josh Samanski credited with hit on Lian Bichsel in neutral zone
  43. P3 01:41
    SHOT
    Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  44. P3 01:32
    Oilers won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  45. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  46. P3 00:53
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Spencer Stastney saved by Jake Oettinger
  47. P3 00:00
    Mavrik Bourque won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:43
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  50. P2 19:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Jake Oettinger
  51. P2 19:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zach Hyman
  52. P2 18:34
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  53. P2 18:20
    Stoppage - Offside
  54. P2 17:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  55. P2 17:09
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tristan Jarry saved by Jake Oettinger
  56. P2 17:02
    Power play - Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in neutral zone
  57. P2 16:53
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Adam Henrique
  58. P2 16:13
    Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Misconduct
  59. P2 16:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Colin Blackwell saved by Tristan Jarry
  60. P2 15:52
    Power play - Connor McDavid credited with hit on Sam Steel in defensive zone
  61. P2 14:20
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Arttu Hyry shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
  62. P2 14:07
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  63. P2 14:07
    Penalty to Thomas Harley 2 minutes for Interference
  64. P2 13:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Tristan Jarry
  65. P2 11:59
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
  66. P2 11:57
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Dickinson
    2-5
  67. P2 11:01
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in defensive zone
  68. P2 11:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  69. P2 10:41
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  70. P2 10:22
    Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
  71. P2 09:26
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  72. P2 09:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  73. P2 08:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Jake Oettinger
  74. P2 08:08
    Oilers won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  75. P2 07:53
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  76. P2 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
  77. P2 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  78. P2 06:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Tristan Jarry
  79. P2 06:15
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Robertson
    0-5
  80. P2 05:43
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Wyatt Johnston
    0-4
  81. P2 05:32
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  82. P2 05:09
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  83. P2 05:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Tristan Jarry
  84. P2 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  85. P2 03:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oilers
  86. P2 02:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
  87. P2 01:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Myers saved by Tristan Jarry
  88. P2 00:11
    Giveaway by Thomas Harley in defensive zone
  89. P2 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  90. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  91. P1 18:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
  92. P1 18:26
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  93. P1 18:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  94. P1 17:55
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  95. P1 17:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  96. P1 17:14
    Arttu Hyry credited with hit on Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  97. P1 15:11
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  98. P1 15:11
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jason Robertson
    0-3
  99. P1 14:34
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  100. P1 14:10
    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
  101. P1 13:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Tristan Jarry
  102. P1 13:09
    Arttu Hyry won faceoff against Josh Samanski in neutral zone
  103. P1 13:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Duchene
  104. P1 12:07
    SHOT
    Vasily Podkolzin shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  105. P1 11:44
    Oilers won faceoff against Stars in neutral zone
  106. P1 11:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  107. P1 10:18
    Oskar Back credited with hit on Connor Murphy in offensive zone
  108. P1 09:44
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
  109. P1 09:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Tristan Jarry
  110. P1 09:24
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  111. P1 09:19
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  112. P1 09:19
    Stoppage - Offside
  113. P1 08:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Tristan Jarry
  114. P1 08:46
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
  115. P1 08:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  116. P1 08:06
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  117. P1 07:51
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  118. P1 07:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Jake Oettinger
  119. P1 07:16
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
  120. P1 07:16
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  121. P1 05:15
    SHOT
    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by teammate
  122. P1 04:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lian Bichsel
  123. P1 03:13
    Vasily Podkolzin credited with hit on Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  124. P1 02:30
    Josh Samanski won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in defensive zone
  125. P1 02:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Tristan Jarry
  127. P1 02:00
    SHOT
    Colin Blackwell shot blocked by Trent Frederic
  128. P1 01:23
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  129. P1 01:23
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Jamie Benn assisted by Miro Heiskanen and Sam Steel
    0-1
  130. P1 00:22
    Justin Hryckowian credited with hit on Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  131. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Stars
32Shots on Goal27
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
24Penalty Infraction Mins22
24Hits14
7 Shots Blocked 7
25Giveaways14
OilersEDM
StarsDAL
32Shots on Goal27
51% Faceoff Win % 49%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/2
24Penalty Infraction Mins22
24Hits14
7 Shots Blocked 7
25Giveaways14

Oilers vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Stars
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers +112, Stars -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 45%
  • Stars: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 45%, while the Stars have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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